Storm Surge "Brainstorm"

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

Storm Surge "Brainstorm"

#1 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jan 06, 2012 10:27 pm

The NHC's Storm Surge Unit is having a Storm Surge "Brainstorm", where they are looking for comments and suggestions from the public about surge products and graphics.

Throw your ideas into the fray today!

https://nhcsurge.ideascale.com/

Mine:

Give NWS lead on surge forecasts

I think, when it comes to storm surge, the local NWS offices should be given the lead on forecasting the surge events. This can be done with coordination and help from the NHC, but the local forecast offices are the ones who best know what could happen with their local areas, especially if they have dealt with similar scenarios in the past. Likewise, going with another idea, a separate watch/warning system could be designed regarding surge for the local offices to use, with local criteria. Some areas are more vulnerable to smaller amounts of surge than others, thus needs to be reflected in some way locally. Plus, I believe this would help with outreach through the local media and such.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#2 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jan 06, 2012 11:14 pm

One thought: a Storm Surge Potential level. It would be based on the potential storm surge based on the projected track, intensity, angle of approach and high tide times. This does not have to be hurricane-specific though.

Using roman numerals to reduce confusion with the SSHS category, it could be as follows:

SSP Level I - Below warning level (such as up to 4 feet where 4 feet is enough to cause buildings and communities to start flooding to a low level, although the criteria would vary by body of water and setting) - a Storm Surge Advisory would be issued there

SSP Level II - 100 to 200% of the warning level (in that case, 4 to 8 feet) - a Storm Surge Warning would be issued starting there.

SSP Level III - 200 to 300% of the warning level (in that case, 8 to 12 feet)

SSP Level IV - 300 to 500% of the warning level (in that case, 12 to 20 feet)

SSP Level V - More than 500% of the warning level (in that case, over 20 feet)

Evacuation zones should be set based on those criteria.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

Re: Storm Surge "Brainstorm"

#3 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jan 14, 2012 9:11 am

Please make sure that you are sending your ideas to NHC through the link provided and not just posting them here on the site.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cheezyWXguy and 40 guests