7 AM CDT advisory on TD#12=STATIONARY

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cycloneye
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7 AM CDT advisory on TD#12=STATIONARY

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 04, 2003 6:44 am

http://www.hwn.org/hapt32us.htm
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 04, 2003 6:46 am

"tats not good".was the quote from our local met..he said it seems to be getting better organized and if it stays over wtaer it could be a problem. I hope thats not the case!!! :o
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 04, 2003 6:48 am

Yes those waters are very warm 83*F-85*F degrees.
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 04, 2003 6:55 am

Looks alot better than it did yesterday evening..thats for sure! :o
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#5 Postby Toni - 574 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 6:59 am

Rainband wrote:Looks alot better than it did yesterday evening..thats for sure! :o


Yeah, looks like Henri could be in the makings today. Rain and more rain! Take care up there Rainband, hope all goes well for you! This thing sitting still has me a little concerned today, I guess we will just have to wait and see.
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Rainband

#6 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 04, 2003 7:06 am

Toni - 574 wrote:
Rainband wrote:Looks alot better than it did yesterday evening..thats for sure! :o


Yeah, looks like Henri could be in the makings today. Rain and more rain! Take care up there Rainband, hope all goes well for you! This thing sitting still has me a little concerned today, I guess we will just have to wait and see.
You take care too hon..I am watching him closely..these GOM systems can sneak up on you!!! I expected to wake up and find a wave after how it looked last night!!! :roll: :o
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#7 Postby Frank P » Thu Sep 04, 2003 7:14 am

Last hour or so looking at the Mobile radar loop hints that the system is continuing to drift towards the ENE or perhaps north of due E at about 4-5 mph, best guess.... my opinion only...
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#8 Postby Toni - 574 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 7:21 am

Frank P wrote:Last hour or so looking at the Mobile radar loop hints that the system is continuing to drift towards the ENE or perhaps due north of E at about 4-5 mph, best guess.... my opinion only...


Hey Frank, good to see you here! Yeah, it's not moving much and that does concern me a little bit. I really think that if this things does take off today it will continue to intensify until it reaches land. Call it a gut feeling but think it is possible, no more than a mod. TS though.
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Motion

#9 Postby tpr1967 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 7:23 am

I agree with you Frank. Seems to me system drifting e or ene. Seems to be getting better organized.

Tom
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Rainband

Re: Motion

#10 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 04, 2003 7:44 am

tpr1967 wrote:I agree with you Frank. Seems to me system drifting e or ene. Seems to be getting better organized.

Tom
I agree..This is going to get interesting..the latest floater shows it seems to be getting it's act together.. :o
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#11 Postby Frank P » Thu Sep 04, 2003 7:45 am

Agree with you both Toni and Tom... I would not be surprised for 12 to become Henri, but I don't I don't think it will be of any significance relative to wind or high tides... now rain could be another matter... especially if its a slow mover along the coast and when it goes inland... Bouy data not impressive with this system yet, 42003 (SE of system) only one showing any wind at all with 21.4K gusts out of the ssw, the bouys off to the NNW and NE of the system have no winds to speak of at the moment. IR much healther on the east side of the system this am than last night... looks like the big rain event everyone has been predicting... hope the good people in central and northern Fl have some web feet, cause looks like they going to need em...
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ColdFront77

#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:06 am

Rainband wrote:I expected to wake up and find a wave after how it looked last night!!! :roll: :o


Knowing that it is moving extremely slowly over very warm water and shear expected to relax (at least some)... you still expected to wake up and find a wave? :wink: :)
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