Fabian much more symmetrical now -- does this mean.......

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dixiebreeze
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Fabian much more symmetrical now -- does this mean.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:37 am

a more westerly move? He's looking like a classic 'Cane again. Still don't see a terribly strong trough.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:42 am

More bad news for those who live in Bermuda as Fabian is doing a last intensification phase before it passes that island.No those are wobbles that you are looking at dixie but the general motion is NNW but with a more fast foward speed.
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#3 Postby john697 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:59 am

Dixie, ignore any chatter you hear about a westward move by Fabian...its not going to happen. Bermuda will be getting hammered in the next day or two, though.
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:03 pm

john697 wrote:Dixie, ignore any chatter you hear about a westward move by Fabian...its not going to happen. Bermuda will be getting hammered in the next day or two, though.


Bingo ...

Here's a 500mb pattern and you'll notice with the combination of the 500mb vort/trough dropping down from Canada, combined with a vort max (not depicted) that was the remnants of Grace plus, now our current Tropical Depression #12 in the Eastern GOM has effectively set up a fence or a roadblock along the East Coast for Fabian ...

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.avnNA500v.html

SF
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#5 Postby john697 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:08 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
john697 wrote:Dixie, ignore any chatter you hear about a westward move by Fabian...its not going to happen. Bermuda will be getting hammered in the next day or two, though.


Bingo ...

Here's a 500mb pattern and you'll notice with the combination of the 500mb vort/trough dropping down from Canada, combined with a vort max (not depicted) that was the remnants of Grace plus, now our current Tropical Depression #12 in the Eastern GOM has effectively set up a fence or a roadblock along the East Coast for Fabian ...

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.avnNA500v.html

SF


Well put SF. The weather systems along the east coast are like a door opening and closing as far as tropical systems go. The last few days it was open, but no TC available to come thru. Now the door has been slammed shut, and Fabian can't get thru. Thats why its rare for a Cape Verde storm to strike the east coast...too many gauntlets for them to run thru for them to make it.
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:20 pm

I guess I will keep some comments to myself in this thread.

As for the loop, to me, the intialization point of Hurricane Fabian looks further east than the actual position.
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