NWS 3:10 Advisory Tampa Bay area--deteriorating.....

[dixiebreeze]

starting overnight tonight:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
310 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2003

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SUNCOAST...
...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 20 INCHES...EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY...

...WATCH/WARNING INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

CITRUS HERNANDO
LEVY PASCO
PINELLAS HILLSBOROUGH
MANATEE SARASOTA

THIS INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE MOUTH OF
THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

...STORM LOCATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 WAS LOCATED ABOUT
270 MILES WEST OF TAMPA WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH.
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM WITH A SLOW MOTION TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST.

...CURRENT RADAR INFORMATION...
DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EASTERN GULF...EXTENDING FROM SARASOTA TO PINELLAS COUNTY
THEN CONTINUING MAINLY OFFSHORE FROM PASCO THROUGH LEVY COUNTIES.
THE AREA OF RAIN WAS DRIFTING EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH FROM PINELLAS
COUNTY SOUTH...AND NEARLY STATIONARY FROM PASCO COUNTY NORTH.

...RAINFALL INFORMATION...
OUTSIDE OF INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS IN LEE COUNTY...ONLY LIGHT RAINS
HAVE FALLEN THUS FAR TODAY. AMOUNTS AROUND ONE TENTH AN INCH HAVE
FALLEN THROUGH 2 PM...WITH PERHAPS UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ON THE
BEACHES FROM PINELLAS THROUGH SARASOTA COUNTY. THICK CLOUDS WILL
INHIBIT TYPICAL AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SUNCOAST COUNTIES. HOWEVER...STEADY LIGHT
RAINS...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE RAINS...WILL AFFECT EVENING
COMMUTERS OVER THE TAMPA BAY AND SARASOTA/BRADENTON METRO AREAS...
PRIMARILY WEST OF INTERSTATE 75.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
LIKELY CONTINUING INTO AFTERNOON...AS BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS MOVE
ONSHORE. THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE MAY BE IMPACTED...WITH URBAN
FLOODING A STRONG POSSIBILITY PRIMARILY IN LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. BY LATE FRIDAY...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8
INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITH TOTALS OF 10 INCHES OR
MORE WHERE PERSISTENT HEAVIER BANDS OCCUR.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

...RIVER FLOODING...
THROUGH TONIGHT...RIVER GAUGE TRENDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONSTANT
AS EXPECTED LIGHT RAINS OVER THE BASINS HAVE LITTLE IMPACT.
HOWEVER...THE ANTICIPATED WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO
BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY WILL PRODUCE
SUBSTANTIAL RISES ON ALL RIVERS...WITH CURRENT FORECASTS SUGGESTING
FLOODING ON ALL RIVERS FROM SARASOTA COUNTY NORTHWARD BY SATURDAY...
WITH MANY OF THOSE RISING TO MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS.

RESIDENTS ALONG AREA RIVERS SHOULD COMPLETE ACTIVITIES TODAY IN
PREPARATION FOR THE EXPECTED FLOODING OVER THE WEEKEND. FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON RIVER FLOOD FORECASTS...LOOK FOR RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
UNDER WMO CODE WGUS42 AND FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS UNDER CODE WGUS82.
FOR ALL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW AND CLICK ON THE HYDROLOGY LINK.

...WIND...
THROUGH TONIGHT...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 MPH
NEAR THE COAST...A BIT LESS INLAND. EXCEPTIONS WILL BE IN
STRONGER CELLS MOVING ONSHORE TOWARD DAYBREAK WHICH MAY PRODUCE
WIND GUSTS ABOVE 25 MPH.

...SURGE INFORMATION...
CURRENT GULF OF MEXICO TIDES REMAIN ABOUT ONE HALF A FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL...AND SHOULD CHANGE LITTLE THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...AS THE
SLOW MOVING SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST...AND STRENGTHENS A BIT...
WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY RISE OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH
OF THE CENTER AROUND THE TIME OF LANDFALL SOMETIME FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS
WOULD PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST...INCLUDING
AROUND TAMPA BAY.

...MARINE AND RIP CURRENT INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM. VALUES IN THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED 8 FEET SOMETIME FRIDAY...LIKELY CONTINUING FRIDAY
NIGHT. MINOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. IN
ADDITION...THE CHANNELED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS BEGINNING FRIDAY AND LIKELY CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY.

...NEXT ISSUANCE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN BY 6 PM. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON TD #12...SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. FOR MORE INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE).

$$

[Aquawind]

Dry hear so far in Bonita..Suns out in fact..has been most of the day. A hazy sun that is.. Keep your head above water

[dixiebreeze]

I will Aqua -- where did you get that cute animated icon?

[Aquawind]

On the left..View more Emoticons

In the profile Eyeblob(my name) is listed with other free Avitars.

[Amanzi]

Been raining here most of the afternoon, quite heavy at times.. Looks like the west coast could be underwater this weekend... STAY DRY you peeps! I just pray Henri high tails it out of here ASAP and does not drag his heals.