Atlantic wave (Is Invest 92L)

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Aric Dunn
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Re: Atlantic wave

#41 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:30 pm

nearing bouy too the south

looks familiar.. lol

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#42 Postby RL3AO » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:36 pm

The center is south of the buoy or the buoy is south of the center?
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Re: Atlantic wave

#43 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:42 pm

Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5

Latest

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Re:

#44 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:43 pm

RL3AO wrote:The center is south of the buoy or the buoy is south of the center?



south of the buoy nearly directly about

Distance between

N Latitude 14 19 43.00, W Longitude 46 4 55.00 (Point 1)

and N Latitude 13 29 24.00, W Longitude 46 19 12.00 (Point 2)

96.711 kilometers; 60.094 miles
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Re: Atlantic wave

#45 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:44 pm

Unlike previous years the more favorable instability might make for more storms defying the odds.

Maybe this goes down as an unnamed this year. NHC gets so much grief for naming short lived storms out in the open waters ....

:)
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Re: Re:

#46 Postby RL3AO » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:45 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:

south of the buoy nearly directly about


Explains the easterly winds then.
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Re: Atlantic wave

#47 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:46 pm

tolakram wrote:Unlike previous years the more favorable instability might make for more storms defying the odds.

Maybe this goes down as an unnamed this year. NHC gets so much grief for naming short lived storms out in the open waters ....

:)



understandable... however its probably been a td/ ts for the last 2 days.
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Re: Atlantic wave

#48 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:50 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
tolakram wrote:Unlike previous years the more favorable instability might make for more storms defying the odds.

Maybe this goes down as an unnamed this year. NHC gets so much grief for naming short lived storms out in the open waters ....

:)



understandable... however its probably been a td/ ts for the last 2 days.


/shrug Alyono did the analysis on it and couldn't get a number, and when the center was exposed earlier it looked rather ragged. I know TD requirements are loose, but I think 24 hours of convection and good evidence of a well formed circulation are required to call it. Tough call.
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Re: Atlantic wave

#49 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:51 pm

From a few hours ago.

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#50 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:53 pm

Agreed. :uarrow: before it ran into the shear it looked rather good better than andrea ever did. lol
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Re: Atlantic wave

#51 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 1:55 pm

cycloneye wrote:From a few hours ago.

[img]http://oi43.tinypic.com/fapg7b.jpg[/ig]



where ascat fails. it very clear there is and has been a closed circ.
but hey oh well lol
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#52 Postby Weatherboy1 » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:09 pm

Personally, I'm wondering if shear is letting up a little bit at least. Last few hours has shown a nice blow up of deep convection ... and it hasn't been quickly blown off to the E or NE. Maybe that's just temporary but this wave definitely has some incredible definition for its location well east of the islands this time of year.
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Re: Atlantic wave

#53 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:12 pm

Image
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#54 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:15 pm

Wow what an impressive wave for this time of year I must say. Despite the marginal SSTs and high shear it is still fighting through it with deep convection and a vigorous circulation quite apparent on vis loops, and also Andrea organized more than we expected despite the dry air and shear.

If this is any indication of what is to come this season, we could be in for a long one. :eek:
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#55 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:21 pm

COnvection exploding over the center.


lol....

not a TD funny..

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Re: Atlantic wave (Is Invest 92L)

#56 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 06, 2013 2:30 pm

Aric!!! Is Invest 92L!!.
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