Thankful for no development.

[OuterBanker]

For most it is boring because there is nothing to talk about, even the Canadian has dropped what it had. But, after realizing what any tropical system would do to the east coast right now I thought that no tropical activity is very good thing. From Florida to Maine and just about everyone on the east coast has seen near record rainfall for the month of June. The latest euro precip map shows anywhere from four to ten inches more through the 11th just about everywhere east of the Mississippi. The threat of flooding just from the persistent trough that still doesn’t seem to want to go anywhere is enough as it is, with any tropical system it could be catastrophic. The trough is so amplified at this point any system in the Gulf or Atlantic coming near it would be like a bowling ball falling into the gutter (a rather crude analogy). So I am hoping that the trough finally leaves and we get to dry out before any system threatens the area.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-n ... n/14678694

[Hurricaneman]

Well I do like the fun of tracking storms, I don't like landfalling ones so its a good thing in this pattern that nothing is going on, but from mid July until October we'll have plenty to track and some of them will keep us on our toes

[Agua]

I track them out of fear and interest, and safety. Sitting on the edge of my seat with each wobble is not the kind of excitement I look forward to.

[CrazyC83]

That persistent trough would likely send any storm straight into the CONUS, correct?

[Janie2006]

Yes. Quite an anomalous pattern over the CONUS this morning, deep trough in the east, high amplitude ridge in the west. So, you get things like 75*F in St. Louis and 117*F in Las Vegas for the first day of July. Strange. I tend to agree, *if* anything formed in the Gulf it would have a hard time resisting the trough magnet, with a rather deep upper low over Tennessee. 582 decameters...in the South, in the summer!

That being said, nothing is permanent, and that's especially true for wx. GFS has been rather consistent in retrograding the trough to the west and allowing strong ridging to move in from the Atlantic, so, if we can avoid tropical development in the very near term we'll have a strong 592 ridge sitting right over Alabama next week, which doesn't preclude a system moving into coastal Texas or across the Florida peninsula. If GFS is correct. Heh.