Analog Years for 2013

[blp]

Now that the season is one month in the books and we have hit a slow patch, I thought I would look at the analog years that were predicted to see any patterns. I wanted to see what everyone's thoughts are to see what year might hold the most similarity to what might play out the rest of the year.

For my research, I wanted to focus on three areas for patterns. 1) MDR, East of 60W and South of 20N 2) West of 60W and South of 20N and 3) West of 60W and North of 20N.

The analog years based on CSU are the following:
April:
1915, 1952, 1966, 1996, 2004

June:
1961, 1996, 2005, 2007, 2011

Years that had late starts (First storm after late July):
1915, 1952, 1961, 2004,

Years with early starts:
1966, 1996, 2005, 2007, 2011

Source: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html
Total Number of storms:
1915: 6
1952: 7
1961: 11
1966: 11
1996: 13
2004: 15
2005: 28
2007: 15
2011: 19

If you look at start of the MDR development:
1915: 5-23 AUG,
1952: 18 AUG- 2 SEP,
1961: 2-12 SEP,
1966: 22-28 JUL,
1996: 05-17 JUL,
2004: 03-14 AUG,
2005: 11-21 JUL,
2007: 13-23 AUG
2011: 20-29 AUG

I am excluding 2005 as an outlier.

# of Storms that developed in the MDR, East of 65W and South of 20N.
1915: 2
1952: 2
1961: 4
1966: 5
1996: 5
2004: 8
2005: 4
2007: 5
2011: 5


# of Storms that developed South of 20N and West of 65W.
1915: 2
1952: 3
1961: 6
1966: 2
1996: 6
2004: 2
2005: 11
2007: 5
2011: 5

# of Storms that developed North 20N and West of 65W.
1915: 2
1952: 0
1961: 1
1966: 0
1996: 1
2004: 3
2005: 7
2007: 4
2011: 7

# of Storms that made landfall anywere in the basin.
1915: 5
1952: 4
1961: 6
1966: 6
1996: 9
2004: 10
2005: 19
2007: 9
2011: 9

Observations:
My outliers are 2005, 2007 and 2011. The middle of the pack for me is 1915, 1952 and 1966.
I am between 2004 and 1996 which were both active cape verde seasons and had high landfalls.
I am leaning towards 1996 because of the earlier start it had with one storm hitting florida compared to this year but if the Bermuda High is as strong as it is now in August & September then I think 2004 will be closer.