still wnw but

#1 Postby **Vortex** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 8:02 am

as models have advertised the turn should be in full swing by this evening at around 20N.

Hyperstorm · #2 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 8:04 am

Motion for the past 6 hours has been WNW, yes. But, the last few frames has gotten westerly. If you can see the satellite loop, you will know that it has not been moving this westerly since it was a tropical wave. Unfortunately, I would expect the NHC to mention the westward jog at 11am.

zoeyann · #3 Postby **zoeyann** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 8:08 am

Yes the loop does seem to jog it toward the west in the last frame or 2, but I'm never sure if it is an optical illusion on satillite. And we will have to see if it is a jog or a trend. It has got to be unnerving to those on the islands and on the east coast.

Hyperstorm · #4 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 8:14 am

I know, right? It is a very nerve-wracking situation for anyone living on an island surrounded by water and no defense from these systems. It looks like the degree of motion is 275º. Not due west, but definitely more westerly. Signs of a due west or WSW motion coming up soon. It might not reach the 20N latitude line OR it will be very close to it. Either way, the surge from High Pressure coming very quickly in front of the UL should push it directly west before 5pm today.

Phoenix78 · #5 Postby **Phoenix78** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 8:48 am

Fabian may have missed it but it looks like Isabel is making a beeline to the "Herbert Box"!!

cindyfl · #6 Postby **cindyfl** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:08 am

Where exactly is the Herbert box :?:

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:13 am

20n-60w is the herbert box.

Phoenix78 · #8 Postby **Phoenix78** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:13 am

Between 60 - 65 degrees longitude and 15 - 20 latititude.

Scott_inVA · #9 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:32 am

cycloneye wrote:20n-60w is the herbert box.

Eye... 20|60 is in the "box"... that intersection is often referred to as The Benchmark.

Scott

Josephine96 · #10 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:36 am

Good percentage of storms that go through the Hebert Box have Florida as there final destination

#11 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:41 am

DID ANDREW GO THRU THE "BOX"? WHAT 'CANES OR TS IN RECENT YEARS HAVE GONE THROUGH THE 'BOX" TO FLORIDA -- ANYONE KNOW?

Josephine96 · #12 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:42 am

Dixie- I saw this on Go PBI before we shortly jumped ship.. lol

Andrew did NOT go through the box.. Andrew Just missed the box

#13 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 9:54 am

THANKS JO. BTW, GLAD WE "JUMPED SHIP" BEFORE ISABEL WAS IN THE AREA.

Lindaloo · #14 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 10:42 am

Didn't Georges go through that "Box"?

Josephine96 · #15 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 10:50 am

I believe Georges did go through the box yes.. and by the way Dixie.. You aint kiddin about jumping ship lol

still wnw but

still wnw but

Herbert box

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