Hurricane Isabel: forecast three

[JetMaxx]

I haven't completely abandoned my belief that hurricane Isabel will remain farther south than most guidance indicates...but now am becoming more confident that landfall will occur north of South Florida...

However, on the 5 to 7 day outlooks, the margin for error is large....why I strongly urge folks in Southern Florida to continue closely monitoring the progress of this large and extremely dangerous hurricane.....along with coastal residents farther north..

Currently:

FRI SEP 12
11 AM EST...21.6N - 57.8W...140 KTS

Forecast:

FRI SEP 12
11 PM EST...21.7N - 59.8W...140 KTS

SAT SEP 13
11 AM EST...21.9N - 61.8W...135 KTS
11 PM EST...22.1N - 63.9W...130 KTS

SUN SEP 14
11 AM EST...22.6N - 65.8W...135 KTS
11 PM EST...23.0N - 67.8W...135 KTS

MON SEP 15
11 AM EST...23.4N - 69.3W...125 KTS
11 PM EST...24.0N - 71.2W...125 KTS

TUE SEP 16
11 AM EST...24.3N - 72.8W...120 KTS
11 PM EST...25.0N - 73.8W...115 KTS

WED SEP 17 (120 HRS)
11 AM EST...26.0N - 75.0W...110 KTS
11 PM EST...26.8N - 76.0W...110 KTS


Extended Forecast:

THU SEP 18 (144 HRS)
11 AM EST...27.8N - 76.9W...110 KTS
11 PM EST...29.0N - 78.4W...115 KTS

FRI SEP 19 (168 HRS)
11 AM EST...30.5N - 81.0W...120 KTS...just east of Jacksonville Beach, FL (Projected landfall near the Georgia/ Florida border as a 120 KT [135 MPH] cat-4)

[Steve H.]

Too close for comfort at KSC!!

[Dmetal81]

That'd be quite a lashing for us in Daytona Beach too! Not a pretty picture