Sounding An "All Clear"~Up For Debate?

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HeatherAKC
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Sounding An "All Clear"~Up For Debate?

#1 Postby HeatherAKC » Fri Sep 12, 2003 12:20 pm

Just for conversation....

~Do you think it's reasonable to sound an "all clear" for some areas like perhaps the FL Keys? South Florida? The Gulf States? The west coast of Florida? I mean, doesn't the data really TREND toward a *POSSIBLE* stike north and east of those areas? Why or why not? How accurate have the models been in the past? Do we really have to keep the ENTIRE east coast on edge at this point? Media ratings? Hype? Not? I ask you.....seriously.
[/i]
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wrkh99

#2 Postby wrkh99 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 12:29 pm

It is never safe or smart to say that untill there is no more storm !
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#3 Postby JCT777 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:18 pm

wrkh99 is absolutely correct. Everyone along the U.S. east coast from the Keys to Cape Cod needs to pay attention to Isabel until it either makes landfall or goes away.
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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:20 pm

As of this instant it looks like Florida will most likely be spared. But only time will tell if the models will change from the input of the NOAA jet.
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Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:23 pm

You won't know if Florida's spared till she's north of the states latitude..

Wait till she is gone to say "Florida will be spared.."
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#6 Postby sfwx » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:46 pm

Would you feel better if someone says "All Clear for Florida" Would you stop listening or paying attention? I think it is very silly to even listen to ANYONE who sounds the "All Clear" when the storm is more than 6 days away from any land. Absorb all the information. Weed out the opinions from the facts and sound the "All Clear" to yourself when YOU feel safe.

Eric
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sfwx

#7 Postby HeatherAKC » Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:54 pm

My post never implied that I was sounding an "all clear" or that I want to hear one. Read it again....Just opening up the topic for discussion.

=) PS::::No, I would not stop listening or paying attention. I find tropical weather fascinating. Fish storms and all.
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#8 Postby wx247 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 2:17 pm

Heather... I agree that some may begin to breathe a little easier, especially across the Keys, but in no way is it "all clear" for them. A lot change change in 6 days.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

ColdFront77

#9 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Sep 12, 2003 4:17 pm

Heather, this storm is not hype. An major hurricane, 1,400 to 1,500 miles from the southeasternmost corner of the United States. That really isn't that close to the United States.

The center of Hurricane Isabel hasn't even crossed the easterrnmost Caribbean islands yet.

As of 5:00 PM Eastern Time, Isabel's eye was approximately 540 miles east of the San Juan, Puerto Rico's longitude.
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