After reading most of these comments, I realize that few understand that this appears to be a self correction in the models. As has been said on this board and in other locations, these storms rarely make a "sharp" turn such as was shown in the models. Much like a very large ship that has to turn in stages, these storms tend to do the same thing. I think if we put that in the back of our mind we will realize that areas north of the outer banks may be affected, but after Isabel has made landfall at least once already. I do agree that a shift in the thinking to the left increases risks to Florida.. But I don't think any of us should have written off that risk. As has been the case in the past, we usually look at a cone and then figure the impact will be about midpoint in the opening of the cone. Even with the best forecasts we have had that problem for years.
What we should be doing now, anywhere on east coast is to encourage our neighbors to pay attention. Have them consider getting hurricane supplies now when they are available and can be replenished in stores rather than later when traffic into an area will be restricted.
Just my thoughts.
Some thoughts for those on the board... Hope I don't offend
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simplykristi
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Anyone who is along the eastern seaboard of the US should get ready. It is much too early to predict what Hurricane Isabel will or will not do.
Kristi
Kristi
Last edited by simplykristi on Sat Sep 13, 2003 11:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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