Isabel observations, west shift?

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 8:58 am

Isabel on visible satellite still looks impressive
despite the shearing. It does look like she
shifted somewhat toward the west the last few
frames. It's probably just like one of her many past
wobbles and nothing more. Thank goodness she
probably will not be anything like the monster she was
24-48 hours ago when she finally does make landfall.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Josephine96 · #2 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:01 am

You're right.. she does look like she may be shifting westward.. Better not be a trend starting lol.. I finally agreed to reconcile that Isabel is not coming here..

cflweather · #3 Postby **cflweather** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:02 am

Thought the same thing, thought I was just seeing things. 8-)

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:05 am

CFL- You weren't just seeing things.. Like I said, better not be a trend starting.. that suckers close to us lol

cflweather · #5 Postby **cflweather** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:12 am

Hi Joesphine...yes it looks so close to us. It is huge too. I would devour the whole state.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

#6 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:13 am

Monster is a very subjective word when used in conjunction with Hurricanes. IMO, Isabel is still a monster, just not as big and bad a monster as she was. If you have been through a CAT3 or better hurricane you know what I am talking about. In 1983 here in Houston we had CAT3 Alicia, not a monster by some standards, but a $5 billion dollar monster none the less. In 2001 we had a little TS called Allison. Don't try and tell anyone that experienced her that she was not a "monster"-another $5b monster in fact. My point is just because she has weakened, it does not mean she is not still a very dangerous storm, especially for areas where no one has experienced a severe Tropical cyclone in decades or longer, especially for areas where the building codes do not normally take into account hurricane force winds. And last but not least, Isabel still has to go across the warm Gulf Stream waters prior to landfall. If she acts like Hugo(see posts elsewhere)she could easily be a strong CAT3 at landfall. And yes it does appear in the last few frames she is jogging west, probably a reaction to the rebuilding happening on her western side. JMHO

jpp5862 · #7 Postby **jpp5862** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:17 am

I also see the westward turn, will be interesting to watch and see if it is just a wobble or if she continues that direction. Also it looks like she is becoming better organized on the west side this morning, the clouds seem to be filling in a little more.

#8 Postby **Stormcenter** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:18 am

vbhoutex I didn't mean to sound like I was downplaying Isabel at all.
I know VERY well she is still a very dangerous storm and as you stated she still has the Gulf stream to travel through. I just thought is was good that she , at the moment, is not a cat. 5 storm.

Josephine96 · #9 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:19 am

If this sudden westward movement is the start of something.. Everybody who got bashed for saying "Florida" will be back in business lol

#10 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:25 am

Stormcenter wrote:vbhoutex I didn't mean to sound like I was downplaying Isabel at all.
I know VERY well she is still a very dangerous storm and as you stated she still has the Gulf stream to travel through. I just thought is was good that she , at the moment, is not a cat. 5 storm.

I understand Stormcenter, but having gone through some of the storms I have in my many years on the Gulf coast I want to make sure the "newbies" understand just how dangerous a hurricane can be, even at "lower" strengths. It is indeed wonderful that she is not at CAT5 MONSTER strength anymore. I WOULD NOT WISH A CAT5 HURRICANE ON MY WORST ENEMY!!!! I did not intend to "get on" you but to make a point.

#11 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:43 am

Well, pressures have been dropping the past couple of days at buoys along the Florida east coast in the Bahamas. Not to say she's headed directly west, but maybe a little farther west than expected?

SacrydDreamz · #12 Postby **SacrydDreamz** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:47 am

A Florida landfall is certainly possibly, but still VERY unlikely.. I say it's still aimed for NC. Remember yesterday when she hit the wall and moved ever so slowly NNW..

SouthFLTropics · #13 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:47 am

Isabel heard that Cantore was on the Outer Banks... She figured she has to go somewhere else... She is looking for Mike Seidel!!! LOL

#14 Postby **TampaFl** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:49 am

I also noticed that westward jog :o Lets hope it is just a wobble or just a shift in the center due to trying to reform on her west & southwest side. Time will tell.

Robert 8-)

Stormsfury · #15 Postby **Stormsfury** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:50 am

The center is wobbling again ... that's all...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

#16 Postby **Trader Ron** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 10:15 am

Isabel was a Monster.It's NOT a monster now!
If Isabel is a Monster at it's present state,what was Andrew,Gilbert,Hugo Camille,Allen etc?

#17 Postby **Pebbles** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 10:17 am

They were beyond monsters...they were for a lack of a nicer wording..hell on earth

Isabel observations, west shift?

Isabel observations, west shift?

vbhoutex

Re: vbhoutex

Isabel

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