12z ETA initialized better than the 06z ETA which took Isabel into Wilmington. 12z still takes Isabel between ILM and Hatteras, but definitely farther EAST than the 6z run.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_060m.gif
GFS still about the same ...
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_060m.gif
Waiting on other model guidance to roll in ... but it's looking more like landfall point will be on the NC coast ...
12z ETA - 12z GFS at 60 hours
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Stormsfury
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12z ETA - 12z GFS at 60 hours
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TheWeatherZone
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Looking at the models runs on the WREL site, it looks as if the tracks are ever so slightly EAST of what they were last night. I could be seeing things, I could be wrong. And I don't really think Isabel is going to head to Western PA. I'm thinking more on the lines of Central PA. OoO well. Should be interesting wherever she goes.
Mike~
Mike~
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