MM5.. interior NC, VA hit hard!

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SacrydDreamz
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MM5.. interior NC, VA hit hard!

#1 Postby SacrydDreamz » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:48 pm

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seahawkjd
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What is this loop?

#2 Postby seahawkjd » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:52 pm

What is that a loop of? Pretty scary for us here in eastern NC
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:54 pm

Surface low pressure and winds..

Look at the 500mb MM5 run ... the shear is just about to be a memory.

http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/loop/36km.500t.html
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Raebie
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#4 Postby Raebie » Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:01 pm

I do *not* like the looks of that.
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#5 Postby JCT777 » Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:02 pm

Is anybody thinking Isabel will make landfall that far south? I am still thinking she will hit the outer banks of NC and then move just west of VA Beach and Norfolk.
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#6 Postby SacrydDreamz » Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:04 pm

I'm sticking to my call for Ocracoke Inlet, NC -- to Williamston, NC -- to Farmville, VA -- to Morgantown, WV
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#7 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:07 pm

JCT777 wrote:Is anybody thinking Isabel will make landfall that far south? I am still thinking she will hit the outer banks of NC and then move just west of VA Beach and Norfolk.


I don't think it'll be THAT far south, but the implications that the MM5 are depicting ... are frightening in regards to that rapid intensification just before landfall (what I'm afraid of...)
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Raebie
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#8 Postby Raebie » Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:09 pm

JCT777 wrote:Is anybody thinking Isabel will make landfall that far south? I am still thinking she will hit the outer banks of NC and then move just west of VA Beach and Norfolk.


Man, I hope not. Folks here in Charlotte are totally disregarding this. And that loop puts her way to close to us...
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stormywind88
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#9 Postby stormywind88 » Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:35 pm

Way to close to Charlotte you are right Raebie ppl here are not that conserned.

Stay Safe
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#10 Postby Suncat » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:17 pm

Oh boy!! Here we go again! :roll:
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jpp5862

#11 Postby jpp5862 » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:55 pm

I agree, everyone here in Charlotte thinks there will be minimal, if any effects from Isabel. If this scenario did pan out we could be in for a rude awakening. Reminds me, I need to fill up with gas tomorrow!
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Josephine96

#12 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:58 pm

Charlotte is a nice town.. In my opinion.. Once people see what a Category 2 or 3 can do.. they'll be sorry they didn't take it so serious..
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#13 Postby jpp5862 » Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:01 pm

I have only lived here a couple of years but I have read a lot about what Hugo did to Charlotte back in 1989. 99 mph wind gusts and lots of damage. Of course Charlotte has grown a lot in 14 years and several people who live here now did not live here then. I'm still a little unsure of it coming this close, but you never know and it never hurts to keep an eye on it and be prepared.
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Carolina_survivor
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Boy that got my attention

#14 Postby Carolina_survivor » Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:52 pm

SacrydDreamz wrote:I'm sticking to my call for Ocracoke Inlet, NC -- to Williamston, NC -- to Farmville, VA -- to Morgantown, WV


Williamston, NC -- that would be me! Yikes!
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#15 Postby JQ Public » Tue Sep 16, 2003 8:05 pm

there is almost no way it will come thru charlotte, because that would mean a SC landfall. At least thats what happened during hugo.
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jpp5862

#16 Postby jpp5862 » Tue Sep 16, 2003 8:08 pm

I agree JQ. I don't think we will get a direct hit, but if the model above was correct then we would definitely get more wind and rain than we are prepared for. Right now we have a 50% chance of showers with ~ 20 - 25 mph winds, the above scenario would imply stronger winds, but we would still be in the NE quadrant. I think you guys in RDU are in for more of a beating than we are.
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Pi Master
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Here at State

#17 Postby Pi Master » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:31 pm

You know, when you don't own a home and your apartment won't get flooded, this is kind of exciting. But I feel for all of you who have a lot of worrying to do.
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