Kudos to NHC

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145581
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Kudos to NHC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 18, 2003 2:55 pm

That was a very great forecast track that they forecasted for Isabel making landfall presisly where for many days they forecasted it would end up.I know that some were somewhat intriged because it was wobbeling more west sometimes and sometimes more to the north and because of those movements which are normal for strong hurricanes some said that maybe Florida,Georgia or SC would recieved her.But it turned out that the NHC was correct in their forecast track all the way and I think that we have to give them credit for doing that and by the way all season long those forecast tracks from the NHC haved been on target but of course some miles north or south but in general they have A+.

But in terms of the intensity forecast that is another story that they admit they are still far to be perfect.Right now with Isabel there haved been discussions here about intensity if she was more stronger at landfall than the cat 2 100 mph or it was the right call.But when they review all the data in comming weeks they may well raise the winds to cat 3 status or leave them the same 100 mph.
0 likes   

Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:01 pm

They did a great JOB and so did you and all the other Forecasters and Mets on this board. Kudos to you all :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#3 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:10 pm

I agree RB!! Everyone here at storm2k did an excellent job with this hurricane. Enjoyed the analysis too from Stormsfury, Ceye and wxman57.
0 likes   

User avatar
tpr1967
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 185
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Jun 15, 2003 8:37 pm
Location: Palmetto,FL

#4 Postby tpr1967 » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:17 pm

good job to all!!!
0 likes   

Guest

#5 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:26 pm

Yep a very good job done by the NHC and some great forecasters here on the boards such as DT, SF, Air Force Met, and a few others (ah um).....LOL
Especially with the track..................Intensity wise she wasnt as easy BUT THANKFULLY she did not stay a CAT 4 or 5 as she came on the coast!...............Like Cycloneye said it will be intresting to see what if any changes the NHC will make on Isabel!

Either way Kudos to the NHC for making yet another great call on the track of Isabel!
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145581
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:30 pm

Yes also we have to give kudos to Wxman57,Air-force-met,DT,Derek,MW and others who also did forecasts and also the storm2k forecast team.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#7 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:30 pm

The improvement in track models has really helped. Also, if recent performance are any indication, they are about to get better as some xperimental guidance really performed well for Isabel, not just in terms of track, but also intensity as well
0 likes   

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#8 Postby Aquawind » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:32 pm

With all the Drama on the board we got the details and NHC kept the ship on a steady course even when the models might have suggested otherwise..Good stuff..they got a lot of data from Isabel and I imagine we will hear about their new 5 day forecast accuracy..
0 likes   

Guest

#9 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:36 pm

Thanks for reminding me of that Derek!.................Very good point!....................Yes they have improved drastically................. they will HOPEFULLY continue to do the same into the winter months and make my job a bit easier this winter with my forecasting!.........LOL
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#10 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 18, 2003 3:46 pm

Very great job they did indeed. Hopefully they will continue to improve in the years to come.
0 likes   

User avatar
JCT777
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6251
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 9:21 am
Location: Spring Mount, PA
Contact:

#11 Postby JCT777 » Thu Sep 18, 2003 4:10 pm

Kudos all around! Based on everything I was seeing (the models, NHC, the great mets on this and other boards), I was pretty sure of a Cape Hatteras area landfall since about Sunday night. And it came pretty close.
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneQueen
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1011
Age: 79
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:36 pm
Location: No. Naples, Fl (Vanderbilt Beach area)

#12 Postby HurricaneQueen » Thu Sep 18, 2003 5:22 pm

I'd be remiss if I didn't jump in here and say thanks to all here who did such a wonderful job in terms of predictions, providing valuable information and teaching us so much. As I stated in an earlier post, I learned more following Isabel than in all my years of being a hurricane junkie. A big thanks to all of those who were mentioned plus we can't forget Scott (and WREL) and Jetmaxx, too. I'm sure there are any more but my brain is fried from computeritis.

Of course, we are doing a post mortem as if this were all over. Yet many of our friends are still in for a rough ride in the next 24 hours or so. Best wishes to everyone and once again a big THANKS!
0 likes   
GO FLORIDA GATORS

User avatar
GulfBreezer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2230
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 8:58 pm
Location: Gulf Breeze Fl
Contact:

#13 Postby GulfBreezer » Thu Sep 18, 2003 5:25 pm

Yes, I must say that ALL did a great job! NHC and S2K Forecasters!! We are very lucky to have you all on board!
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5277
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#14 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 18, 2003 5:26 pm

I agree, very good job NHC, almost as good as their Lili forecast last year which was one of the best I've ever seen (talking about just the track of course :wink: )
0 likes   

User avatar
SWV
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 35
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 8:10 pm
Location: Baltimore MD

#15 Postby SWV » Thu Sep 18, 2003 5:38 pm

As a newbie , it was a great learning experience. I've always have been fancinated with the weather and now I've found a place to learn about it. You are wonderful people ...knowledgable and CARING. Thanks! My lights are flickering. My husband has told me to get my posts in because Mother Nature has some plans for our neck of the woods. Take Care, Susan
0 likes   

User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1437
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

#16 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Sep 18, 2003 5:46 pm

The NHC has done a near perfect job all year. I know they will keep up the great track record.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Sciencerocks and 71 guests