0Z tonight its Carribean development is much later, misses all the East Coast troughing this weekend...
And thus you end up with a slow-moving, weaker storm stuck in the Bay of Campeche for a billion years:
Canadian Day 10:
http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/mode ... hdf_50.gif
No Florida hit, nothing up the East coast.
The ECMWF has totally lost whatever limited similar hint of a storm it had. No support from other models.
Probably way too much hullabaloo over one run, of the Canadian, no less, from last night. Were Barometer Bob and Bastardi making a big deal of it?
Whatever is in the Carribean right now is in a pretty sorry state; though it does appear upper level conditions are actually improving at the same rate the models indicated.
Well, so much for the Canadian model hug-fest....
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Re: Well, so much for the Canadian model hug-fest....
Wishcaster Law One:
One run does not a *honk* make.
I can see this coming in as a TD but see Juan "no time" there.
One run does not a *honk* make.
I can see this coming in as a TD but see Juan "no time" there.
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