http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... v_nt4.html
Moving WNW at 8 mph the center is SW of the convection.The 11 AM forecast track is similar to the 5 AM one.
11 AM advisory=11.9n-43.9w
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cycloneye
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11 AM advisory=11.9n-43.9w
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cycloneye
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http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... /MIATCDAT4
Here is the discussion of the 11 AM advisory.
Here is the discussion of the 11 AM advisory.
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Luis
If I understand the discussion properly, the models still show different possibilities'
which model do you consider the most reliable?
and , also, Beven forecasts it to be at 18.5 N and 51.0 W in 120 hours which puts it North and east of us, correct?
Barbara
and thanks for providing this information..it is so helpful!
If I understand the discussion properly, the models still show different possibilities'
which model do you consider the most reliable?
and , also, Beven forecasts it to be at 18.5 N and 51.0 W in 120 hours which puts it North and east of us, correct?
Barbara
and thanks for providing this information..it is so helpful!
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cycloneye
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Well msbee to forecast what will happen with Nicholas is going to be a nightmare for the specialists at the NHC because it is not common to have a system east of the islands at this time of the season with weak ridges and troughs digging farther south and because of that the models are flip=flopping around but to answer your question the BAMM model is one of the best models that is doing a good job tracking Nicholas.
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