Nicholas is stationary and weaker

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146106
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Nicholas is stationary and weaker

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 19, 2003 3:46 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... v_nt4.html

The 5 PM advisory doesn't have anything new other than nick more weak.It has gone from almost a cane on friday then down to a 50 mph storm up again to 60 mph this morning and now down to 50 mph.This storm will die soon as shear will be too strong in next few days.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Oct 19, 2003 3:53 pm

Never say that something will happen. Nicholas will die soon but a lot of storms this year have been fighters. Don't count Nick out so quick
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146106
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 19, 2003 4:21 pm

John not only myself is saying that Nick will dissipate but the NHC says it too.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Oct 19, 2003 4:24 pm

Cyclone.. Ok.. So Maybe he will have a quick death lol.. I was just saying it wouldn't surprise me if he dies a little slower than anyone believes..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormchazer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2462
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
Location: Lakeland, Florida
Contact:
Contact stormchazer

#5 Postby stormchazer » Sun Oct 19, 2003 8:03 pm

Not only is the shear intense, but upwelling may start taking effect. I think Nick is going to die.
0 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: 869MB, Argcane, Coolcruiseman, Google Adsense [Bot], hurricane2025, IsabelaWeather, Kazmit, LAF92, LarryWx, saila, TampaWxLurker and 138 guests