On this ir loop, the low is trying to get under the thunderstorms. at the very least the low is closer to the convection that even six hours ago, and I see a hint of deep red convection in one of the "blobs." I really only see some SW shear affecting it now, but not as significantly as when Nicholas was out in the Atlantic.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Trying to build...
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Stormsfury
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Notice the southerly jet streak below the flareup ... it's getting a dynamically enhanced boost of energy from strong divergent shear, and I mean strong ... look at the way the clouds north of the convection generated area and how it spreads in a V shape outward ... those are probably some strong thunderstorm activity currently going on.
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