I'm beginning to grow more confident that we may very well have one more storm. The 18z GFS is now showing a closed low near PR in 4-5 days, similar to CMC. Either way PR looks to get some nasty weather mid-week. Also, with strong ridging to the north this system may very well make it into the bahamas at least. Cycloeye keep an eye on this one is has PR written all over it. Here's a link on the Gfs:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_132l.gif
Additional model agreement on carribean system
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Stormsfury
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Re: Additional model agreement on carribean system
Vortex wrote:I'm beginning to grow more confident that we may very well have one more storm. The 18z GFS is now showing a closed low near PR in 4-5 days, similar to CMC. Either way PR looks to get some nasty weather mid-week. Also, with strong ridging to the north this system may very well make it into the bahamas at least. Cycloeye keep an eye on this one is has PR written all over it. Here's a link on the Gfs:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_132l.gif
LOL ... we might as well put our two threads together as one ... the 18z NOGAPS is also slowly coming on board as well ...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=18452
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12z Nogaps also indicates closed
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stormchazer
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Tropics still want to make a statement.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
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TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
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cycloneye
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Re: Additional model agreement on carribean system
Vortex wrote:I'm beginning to grow more confident that we may very well have one more storm. The 18z GFS is now showing a closed low near PR in 4-5 days, similar to CMC. Either way PR looks to get some nasty weather mid-week. Also, with strong ridging to the north this system may very well make it into the bahamas at least. Cycloeye keep an eye on this one is has PR written all over it. Here's a link on the Gfs:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_132l.gif
Vortex let's see if all of what some models ae showing verifies to see a trend towards a low near Puerto Rico.
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