Nice circulation west of Chile

[cycloneye]

Interesting circulation in the SE Pacific west of Chile.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Yes it has maintained an eye like feature for a day now.

[Hurricane2021]

This system is likely at max with 60 mph winds

[Yellow Evan]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1481415975874359297




 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1481420480191991809

[cycloneye]

Still spinning but not as defined than yesterday.

[Nancy Smar]

A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN SOUTH PACIFIC CENTERS NEAR 34S 89W...THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 440 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ARCHIPELAGO OF JUAN FERNANDEZ. CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA TROPICAL STORM AS IT NEARS THE SOUTH COAST OF CHILE LATER ON THURSDAY. HAZARDS TO SOUTHERN CHILE INCLUDES STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS OF 35-45KT AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 75-150MM. PLEASE REFER TO THE DIRECCION METEOROLOGICA DE CHILE AND THE SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LA ARMADA DE CHILE FOR OFFICIAL FORECAST GUIDANCE AND WARNINGS PERTAINING THIS SYSTEM.

FORECAST DISCUSSION FROM JAN 13/17UTC: AT 1550 UTC...THE REMNANTS
OF A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC CENTERED NEAR 37S
82W. THROUGH THIS EVENING THIS WILL PHASE WITH A DEEPENING MID
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST PACIFIC...WITH AXIS TO ACCELERATE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONE TO THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC EARLY ON
FRIDAY MORNING. AT LOW LEVELS...THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL SUSTAIN
A SURFACE FRONT THAT SURGES ACROSS SOUTHERN PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA/SOUTHERN CHILE LATER TODAY. AS IT PHASES WITH THE
REMNANTS OF THE STORM...THE INFLOW OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
HELP SUSTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH ACCUMULATION OF
75-125MM. THIS IS TO ALSO FAVOR STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS OF
35-45KT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN REGIONS OF CHILE INTO PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA.

[Hurricanehink]

A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN SOUTH PACIFIC CENTERS NEAR 34S 89W...THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 440 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ARCHIPELAGO OF JUAN FERNANDEZ. CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA TROPICAL STORM AS IT NEARS THE SOUTH COAST OF CHILE LATER ON THURSDAY. HAZARDS TO SOUTHERN CHILE INCLUDES STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS OF 35-45KT AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 75-150MM. PLEASE REFER TO THE DIRECCION METEOROLOGICA DE CHILE AND THE SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LA ARMADA DE CHILE FOR OFFICIAL FORECAST GUIDANCE AND WARNINGS PERTAINING THIS SYSTEM.

FORECAST DISCUSSION FROM JAN 13/17UTC: AT 1550 UTC...THE REMNANTS
OF A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC CENTERED NEAR 37S
82W. THROUGH THIS EVENING THIS WILL PHASE WITH A DEEPENING MID
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST PACIFIC...WITH AXIS TO ACCELERATE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONE TO THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC EARLY ON
FRIDAY MORNING. AT LOW LEVELS...THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL SUSTAIN
A SURFACE FRONT THAT SURGES ACROSS SOUTHERN PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA/SOUTHERN CHILE LATER TODAY. AS IT PHASES WITH THE
REMNANTS OF THE STORM...THE INFLOW OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
HELP SUSTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH ACCUMULATION OF
75-125MM. THIS IS TO ALSO FAVOR STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS OF
35-45KT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN REGIONS OF CHILE INTO PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA.

What agency said this?

[cycloneye]

A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN SOUTH PACIFIC CENTERS NEAR 34S 89W...THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 440 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ARCHIPELAGO OF JUAN FERNANDEZ. CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA TROPICAL STORM AS IT NEARS THE SOUTH COAST OF CHILE LATER ON THURSDAY. HAZARDS TO SOUTHERN CHILE INCLUDES STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS OF 35-45KT AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 75-150MM. PLEASE REFER TO THE DIRECCION METEOROLOGICA DE CHILE AND THE SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LA ARMADA DE CHILE FOR OFFICIAL FORECAST GUIDANCE AND WARNINGS PERTAINING THIS SYSTEM.

FORECAST DISCUSSION FROM JAN 13/17UTC: AT 1550 UTC...THE REMNANTS
OF A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC CENTERED NEAR 37S
82W. THROUGH THIS EVENING THIS WILL PHASE WITH A DEEPENING MID
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST PACIFIC...WITH AXIS TO ACCELERATE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONE TO THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC EARLY ON
FRIDAY MORNING. AT LOW LEVELS...THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL SUSTAIN
A SURFACE FRONT THAT SURGES ACROSS SOUTHERN PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA/SOUTHERN CHILE LATER TODAY. AS IT PHASES WITH THE
REMNANTS OF THE STORM...THE INFLOW OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
HELP SUSTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH ACCUMULATION OF
75-125MM. THIS IS TO ALSO FAVOR STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS OF
35-45KT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN REGIONS OF CHILE INTO PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA.

Some members dont know what agency wrote that discussion so for the next time when you post these, add a link,thanks.

[Sciencerocks]

Would this be the most east for a south Pacific system if it was official?

[Iceresistance]

Would this be the most east for a south Pacific system if it was official?

There was another system a few years ago very close to Chile.

[Nancy Smar]

A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN SOUTH PACIFIC CENTERS NEAR 34S 89W...THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 440 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ARCHIPELAGO OF JUAN FERNANDEZ. CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA TROPICAL STORM AS IT NEARS THE SOUTH COAST OF CHILE LATER ON THURSDAY. HAZARDS TO SOUTHERN CHILE INCLUDES STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS OF 35-45KT AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 75-150MM. PLEASE REFER TO THE DIRECCION METEOROLOGICA DE CHILE AND THE SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE LA ARMADA DE CHILE FOR OFFICIAL FORECAST GUIDANCE AND WARNINGS PERTAINING THIS SYSTEM.

FORECAST DISCUSSION FROM JAN 13/17UTC: AT 1550 UTC...THE REMNANTS
OF A SUBTROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC CENTERED NEAR 37S
82W. THROUGH THIS EVENING THIS WILL PHASE WITH A DEEPENING MID
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST PACIFIC...WITH AXIS TO ACCELERATE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONE TO THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC EARLY ON
FRIDAY MORNING. AT LOW LEVELS...THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL SUSTAIN
A SURFACE FRONT THAT SURGES ACROSS SOUTHERN PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA/SOUTHERN CHILE LATER TODAY. AS IT PHASES WITH THE
REMNANTS OF THE STORM...THE INFLOW OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
HELP SUSTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH ACCUMULATION OF
75-125MM. THIS IS TO ALSO FAVOR STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS OF
35-45KT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN REGIONS OF CHILE INTO PATAGONIA IN
ARGENTINA.

What agency said this?

Weather Prediction Center.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=fxsa21