How many named storms will form in September?

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How many named storms will form in September?

Poll ended at Wed Aug 31, 2022 5:22 pm

One
5
5%
Two
9
9%
Three
11
11%
Four
13
14%
Five
18
19%
Six
13
14%
Seven or more
19
20%
None will form
8
8%
 
Total votes: 96
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Iceresistance
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#61 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Sep 02, 2022 8:13 pm

Landy wrote:Well, with 91L likely becoming TS Earl next advisory, looks like we already have our second voting option out. :D


I may be able to get the 6 right, September is going to show no mercy after an extremely unexpected 0/0/0 August for a La Nina year.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#62 Postby Category5Kaiju » Fri Sep 02, 2022 8:24 pm

How hard could it be to get to at least Ian by month's end? :lol: Can't be that hard, just 4 more named storms during the most notorious month of hurricane season, right?
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#63 Postby aspen » Sat Sep 03, 2022 7:09 am

My guess of 3 does look too bad now that all the models have dropped development after Earl. This season will likely struggle to get even a few more named storms.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#64 Postby Category5Kaiju » Fri Sep 16, 2022 7:48 am

Who knew that the chances of seeing 5 NSs already form this month (yes, I'm including those 2 lemons now because who knows really if they'll be even at least quick spin ups?) would be a plausible thing to see? :lol:
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#65 Postby Category5Kaiju » Fri Sep 23, 2022 10:11 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:Who knew that the chances of seeing 5 NSs already form this month (yes, I'm including those 2 lemons now because who knows really if they'll be even at least quick spin ups?) would be a plausible thing to see? :lol:


Who knew that the chances of seeing 6 NSs form this month would be a plausible thing to see? :lol:
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#66 Postby Teban54 » Fri Sep 23, 2022 10:12 pm

aspen wrote:My guess of 3 does look too bad now that all the models have dropped development after Earl. This season will likely struggle to get even a few more named storms.

The guess does look horrible, but for completely opposite reasons.
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#67 Postby weeniepatrol » Sat Sep 24, 2022 2:52 am

aspen wrote:No more generous estimates. I’m going with just 3 storms. Everything we’ve seen over the last month has shown that many favorable indicators turned out to be wrong, probably due to the triple-dip Nina or some other factor we just don’t know about yet. With that said, my vote will probably be too conservative even with a near to below-average season.


aspen wrote:My guess of 3 does look too bad now that all the models have dropped development after Earl. This season will likely struggle to get even a few more named storms.



how many seasons will it take before we learn :lol: no offense
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#68 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Sep 24, 2022 4:44 am

I got it correct! I knew that September was going to show no mercy! :eek:
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#69 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:29 am

Whoever chose 6 (including me) may get it right after all.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: How many named storms will form in September?

#70 Postby Stormybajan » Sat Oct 01, 2022 5:11 am

Damn, im kinda salty about TD11 flopping after being around for like 2 weeks and not becoming Julia :roll: . Well..atleast I was close to my prediction with 7 tropical cyclones
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