2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: 111 members are participating
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- crownweather
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
Here is mine:
25 Named Storms
12 Hurricanes
6 Major Hurricanes
ACE: 225.
I do think that the Caribbean, the southwest North Atlantic (near the Bahamas and Florida) and the Gulf of Mexico could be particularly at risk this season.
25 Named Storms
12 Hurricanes
6 Major Hurricanes
ACE: 225.
I do think that the Caribbean, the southwest North Atlantic (near the Bahamas and Florida) and the Gulf of Mexico could be particularly at risk this season.
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Rob Lightbown
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
crownweather wrote:Here is mine:
25 Named Storms
12 Hurricanes
6 Major Hurricanes
ACE: 225.
I do think that the Caribbean, the southwest North Atlantic (near the Bahamas and Florida) and the Gulf of Mexico could be particularly at risk this season.
Dont like the Caribbean risk area. You are #47 on the list.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
Stormblessed wrote:24/13/6 ACE 240
You are #48 on the list.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
Kennethb wrote:22/9/4, 199 ACE
You are #49 onn the list.
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- CyclonicFury
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
21-10-5 ACE 180 preliminary
Here are some thoughts on the season on my blog:
https://www.cyclonicfury.com/2024/03/26 ... utlookmar/
Here are some thoughts on the season on my blog:
https://www.cyclonicfury.com/2024/03/26 ... utlookmar/
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
The poll has reached 50 participants and so far, the average of the poll is 23/12/6.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
cycloneye wrote:The poll has reached 50 participants and so far, the average of the poll is 23/12/6.
Wow even using the average numbers, this year's Storm2k forecast would have the 3rd most NS, a shared 3rd place for the most hurricanes and major hurricanes (all only behind 2005 and 2020). The average ACE of the participants so far is 200.6, which would be the 9th highest ACE since 1851 and the highest since 2017.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
The AccuWeather forecast is up so I guess members will come to participate.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
NS: 19
H: 10
MH: 4
ACE: 175
H: 10
MH: 4
ACE: 175
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
With El Nino fading, water warm, but uncertainty about wind shear, here are my preliminary thoughts:
25 / 11 / 4
ACE 142
25 / 11 / 4
ACE 142
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
Here goes nothing. 23/11/5
ACE 195. Still in recovery mode 18 months later from Ian here on Pine Island/Matlacha.
ACE 195. Still in recovery mode 18 months later from Ian here on Pine Island/Matlacha.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
Matlachamullethead wrote:Here goes nothing. 23/11/5
ACE 195. Still in recovery mode 18 months later from Ian here on Pine Island/Matlacha.
#53 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
NS=26 H=12 M=5 ACE=170
Reasoning over the last few years the trend has been for more on the Tropical storm end and not as many hurricanes, I think we will get into the supplement names but not as a huge ace as some people think.
Reasoning over the last few years the trend has been for more on the Tropical storm end and not as many hurricanes, I think we will get into the supplement names but not as a huge ace as some people think.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
ChrisH-UK wrote:NS=26 H=12 M=5 ACE=170
Reasoning over the last few years the trend has been for more on the Tropical storm end and not as many hurricanes, I think we will get into the supplement names but not as a huge ace as some people think.
You are #54 on the list of participants.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
22 Named Storms
10 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes
185 ACE
Preliminary
10 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes
185 ACE
Preliminary
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- Audrey2Katrina
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
23/9/3 ACE= 181 (Final)
Last edited by Audrey2Katrina on Tue Apr 30, 2024 1:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Flossy 56 Audrey 57 Hilda 64* Betsy 65* Camille 69* Edith 71 Carmen 74 Bob 79 Danny 85 Elena 85 Juan 85 Florence 88 Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21 Francine *24
- cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll
There are now 56 participants in the poll. The averages with the 56 are 23/12/5.
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