2025 Indicators: SST's, MSLP, Shear, SAL, Steering, Instability (Day 16+ Climate Models)

[CyclonicFury]

Truly a rare sight. For the first time in the history of GTWOs, there is an empty GTWO on the peak day of Atlantic hurricane season. Unbelievable

[Pelicane]

Truly a rare sight. For the first time in the history of GTWOs, there is an empty GTWO on the peak day of Atlantic hurricane season. Unbelievable

https://i.imgur.com/p7LpB7P.png

Given all the major landfalls we've had in the last 10 years, I'd be nice to get a year where we just don't get anything.

[wwizard]

Truly a rare sight. For the first time in the history of GTWOs, there is an empty GTWO on the peak day of Atlantic hurricane season. Unbelievable

https://i.imgur.com/p7LpB7P.png

Doing a little research, had those maps existed in 1992, that would be the last time it likely would have been clean. That year on September 10th, it was 13 days after Andrew and 7 days before Bonnie formed. Unless there were low percentage areas of interest somewhere out there the map likely would have been clean.

1992 is also the last time there were no TCs forming in the first 15 days of September.

[MarioProtVI]

Truly a rare sight. For the first time in the history of GTWOs, there is an empty GTWO on the peak day of Atlantic hurricane season. Unbelievable

https://i.imgur.com/p7LpB7P.png

And now we have a 0/20 now

[CrazyC83]

With these frequent peak-season lulls make me wonder, is there something weird happening back in Africa? If we get a lot of storms in October and November, that could suggest that we might be moving towards a North Indian style cycle?

Also, at this time of year, it's quite uncommon to get storms from non-tropical sources.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

And I thought September 2024's lull was tame... September 2025 is an actual ghost town out there.