I'm putting together some statistical regression analysis on the PDO (and other indicators) and it's (their) impact on North Atlantic hurricane frequency and probability for landfall...and I am in need of some readily available data.
I was able to track down the reanalysis dataset with named storms/peak intensity since the mid1800's, but I'm hoping that someone has some data laying around (in spreadsheet or text file form) that has total number of landfalling US hurricanes at landfall, aggregated by year, since 1900. Detailed data with landfall intensity would also be helpful.
I have scoured the net today to no avail...and I have almost resigned myself to going through maps year-by-year...but before I do that I was wondering if anyone has this stuff lying around.
Here's a preview...I have been able to show with statistical significance that negative PDO values in the key months of Sepeptember, October and November (on average) are a strong indicator for hurricane frequency in the north Atlantic. I'm not sure this is groundbreaking, and the PDO index could be contaminated with cool ENSO events which may be showing up in the analysis, but I haven't seem much info linking the PDO directly to frequency...only to tracks toward/away from the US.
Who knows if this analysis has already been conducted (it probably has)...but I will be happy to share what I find after I get through the data.
Thanks in advance...
MW
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Dataset Requested
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MW....hope this helps (courtesy of Gary Gray / Millenniumweather. http://www.millenniumweather.com)
YEAR #Stms #Hurrs #Intns #HitUS #HHitUS #IHitUS CatTot CtHtTot ECstCts GlfCts
1899 6 5 3 4 2 1 12 4 4 0
1900 7 3 2 3 1 1 9 4 0 4
1901 10 3 1 6 2 0 7 3 1 2
1902 5 3 0 3 0 0 5 0 0 0
1903 9 8 1 2 2 0 17 3 3 0
1904 5 2 0 3 1 0 3 1 1 0
1905 5 1 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
1906 11 6 4 6 4 2 20 9 6 3
1907 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
1908 8 5 1 2 1 0 10 1 1 0
1909 10 4 4 8 4 3 14 12 3 9
1910 4 3 3 2 2 1 9 5 0 5
1911 4 3 0 2 2 0 5 3 2 1
1912 6 4 1 4 2 0 8 2 0 2
1913 4 3 0 3 2 0 5 2 1 1
1914 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
1915 5 4 3 4 3 2 13 9 0 9
1916 14 11 6 8 6 2 27 11 2 9
1917 3 2 2 1 1 1 6 3 0 3
1918 5 3 0 2 1 1 5 3 0 3
1919 3 1 1 2 1 1 4 4 0 4
1920 4 4 1 3 2 0 7 3 1 2
1921 6 4 2 2 2 1 10 5 0 5
1922 4 2 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 0
1923 7 3 1 4 1 0 7 1 0 1
1924 8 5 2 3 2 0 12 2 0 2
1925 2 1 0 2 1 0 2 1 0 1
1926 11 8 6 4 3 2 26 9 6 3
1927 7 4 2 1 0 0 9 0 0 0
1928 6 4 1 3 2 1 9 6 6 0
1929 3 3 1 2 2 1 6 4 3 1
1930 2 2 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 0
1931 9 2 1 2 0 0 5 0 0 0
1932 11 6 4 5 2 1 19 5 0 5
1933 21 10 6 7 5 3 26 13 8 5
1934 11 6 0 5 2 1 8 5 0 5
1935 6 5 3 2 2 1 13 7 2 5
1936 16 7 3 7 3 1 13 6 2 4
1937 9 3 1 4 0 0 7 0 0 0
1938 8 3 1 4 2 1 9 4 3 1
1939 5 3 1 3 1 0 6 1 1 0
1940 8 4 0 4 2 0 5 4 2 2
1941 6 4 2 4 2 1 8 5 2 3
1942 10 4 2 3 2 1 9 4 0 4
1943 10 5 3 4 1 0 13 2 0 2
1944 11 7 3 4 3 2 15 7 4 3
1945 11 5 3 4 3 1 15 6 3 3
1946 6 3 1 4 1 0 7 1 0 1
1947 9 5 3 7 3 1 13 7 6 1
1948 9 6 4 4 3 1 16 6 2 4
1949 13 7 4 3 3 1 19 6 4 2
1950 13 11 10 4 3 2 35 7 3 4
1951 10 8 6 1 0 0 23 0 0 0
1952 7 6 4 2 1 0 16 1 1 0
1953 14 6 5 7 3 0 17 3 2 1
1954 11 8 2 4 3 3 16 10 10 0
1955 12 9 6 5 3 2 26 7 7 0
1956 8 4 2 2 1 0 9 2 0 2
1957 8 3 2 5 1 1 10 4 0 4
1958 10 7 5 2 0 0 21 0 0 0
1959 11 7 2 6 3 1 12 5 4 1
1960 7 4 2 4 2 1 13 5 0 5
1961 11 8 7 3 1 1 28 4 0 4
1962 5 3 2 1 0 0 8 0 0 0
1963 9 7 3 1 1 0 16 1 0 1
1964 12 6 6 5 4 1 23 9 4 5
1965 6 4 1 2 1 1 9 3 3 0
1966 11 7 3 2 2 0 14 3 0 3
1967 8 6 2 2 1 1 12 3 0 3
1968 8 5 0 3 1 0 5 2 0 2
1969 18 12 5 3 2 1 26 6 1 5
1970 10 5 2 3 1 1 10 3 0 3
1971 13 6 2 5 3 0 12 4 1 3
1972 7 3 0 3 1 0 4 1 0 1
1973 8 4 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 0
1974 11 4 3 2 1 1 11 3 0 3
1975 9 6 4 1 1 1 16 3 0 3
1976 10 6 2 4 1 0 12 1 1 0
1977 6 5 1 1 1 0 9 1 0 1
1978 12 5 2 2 0 0 12 0 0 0
1979 9 6 2 5 3 1 14 6 2 4
1980 11 9 2 2 1 1 18 3 0 3
1981 12 7 3 2 0 0 15 0 0 0
1982 6 2 1 2 0 0 5 0 0 0
1983 4 3 1 2 1 1 5 3 0 3
1984 13 5 1 2 1 0 9 2 2 0
1985 11 7 3 8 6 2 14 11 4 7
1986 6 4 0 2 2 0 5 2 1 1
1987 7 3 1 2 1 0 5 1 0 1
1988 12 6 3 4 1 0 16 1 0 1
1989 11 7 2 4 3 1 16 6 4 2
1990 14 8 1 1 0 0 12 0 0 0
1991 8 4 2 1 1 0 10 2 2 0
1992 7 4 3 2 1 1 12 4 4 0
1993 8 4 1 2 1 1 7 3 3 0
1994 7 3 1 3 0 0 5 0 0 0
1995 19 11 7 5 2 0 28 4 0 4
1996 13 9 6 4 2 1 22 5 0 5
1997 7 3 1 1 1 0 5 1 0 1
AVG 8.6 5.0 2.3 3.2 1.6 .6 11.9 3.5 1.4 2.1
YEAR #Stms #Hurrs #Intns #HitUS #HHitUS #IHitUS CatTot CtHtTot ECstCts GlfCts
1899 6 5 3 4 2 1 12 4 4 0
1900 7 3 2 3 1 1 9 4 0 4
1901 10 3 1 6 2 0 7 3 1 2
1902 5 3 0 3 0 0 5 0 0 0
1903 9 8 1 2 2 0 17 3 3 0
1904 5 2 0 3 1 0 3 1 1 0
1905 5 1 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
1906 11 6 4 6 4 2 20 9 6 3
1907 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
1908 8 5 1 2 1 0 10 1 1 0
1909 10 4 4 8 4 3 14 12 3 9
1910 4 3 3 2 2 1 9 5 0 5
1911 4 3 0 2 2 0 5 3 2 1
1912 6 4 1 4 2 0 8 2 0 2
1913 4 3 0 3 2 0 5 2 1 1
1914 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
1915 5 4 3 4 3 2 13 9 0 9
1916 14 11 6 8 6 2 27 11 2 9
1917 3 2 2 1 1 1 6 3 0 3
1918 5 3 0 2 1 1 5 3 0 3
1919 3 1 1 2 1 1 4 4 0 4
1920 4 4 1 3 2 0 7 3 1 2
1921 6 4 2 2 2 1 10 5 0 5
1922 4 2 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 0
1923 7 3 1 4 1 0 7 1 0 1
1924 8 5 2 3 2 0 12 2 0 2
1925 2 1 0 2 1 0 2 1 0 1
1926 11 8 6 4 3 2 26 9 6 3
1927 7 4 2 1 0 0 9 0 0 0
1928 6 4 1 3 2 1 9 6 6 0
1929 3 3 1 2 2 1 6 4 3 1
1930 2 2 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 0
1931 9 2 1 2 0 0 5 0 0 0
1932 11 6 4 5 2 1 19 5 0 5
1933 21 10 6 7 5 3 26 13 8 5
1934 11 6 0 5 2 1 8 5 0 5
1935 6 5 3 2 2 1 13 7 2 5
1936 16 7 3 7 3 1 13 6 2 4
1937 9 3 1 4 0 0 7 0 0 0
1938 8 3 1 4 2 1 9 4 3 1
1939 5 3 1 3 1 0 6 1 1 0
1940 8 4 0 4 2 0 5 4 2 2
1941 6 4 2 4 2 1 8 5 2 3
1942 10 4 2 3 2 1 9 4 0 4
1943 10 5 3 4 1 0 13 2 0 2
1944 11 7 3 4 3 2 15 7 4 3
1945 11 5 3 4 3 1 15 6 3 3
1946 6 3 1 4 1 0 7 1 0 1
1947 9 5 3 7 3 1 13 7 6 1
1948 9 6 4 4 3 1 16 6 2 4
1949 13 7 4 3 3 1 19 6 4 2
1950 13 11 10 4 3 2 35 7 3 4
1951 10 8 6 1 0 0 23 0 0 0
1952 7 6 4 2 1 0 16 1 1 0
1953 14 6 5 7 3 0 17 3 2 1
1954 11 8 2 4 3 3 16 10 10 0
1955 12 9 6 5 3 2 26 7 7 0
1956 8 4 2 2 1 0 9 2 0 2
1957 8 3 2 5 1 1 10 4 0 4
1958 10 7 5 2 0 0 21 0 0 0
1959 11 7 2 6 3 1 12 5 4 1
1960 7 4 2 4 2 1 13 5 0 5
1961 11 8 7 3 1 1 28 4 0 4
1962 5 3 2 1 0 0 8 0 0 0
1963 9 7 3 1 1 0 16 1 0 1
1964 12 6 6 5 4 1 23 9 4 5
1965 6 4 1 2 1 1 9 3 3 0
1966 11 7 3 2 2 0 14 3 0 3
1967 8 6 2 2 1 1 12 3 0 3
1968 8 5 0 3 1 0 5 2 0 2
1969 18 12 5 3 2 1 26 6 1 5
1970 10 5 2 3 1 1 10 3 0 3
1971 13 6 2 5 3 0 12 4 1 3
1972 7 3 0 3 1 0 4 1 0 1
1973 8 4 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 0
1974 11 4 3 2 1 1 11 3 0 3
1975 9 6 4 1 1 1 16 3 0 3
1976 10 6 2 4 1 0 12 1 1 0
1977 6 5 1 1 1 0 9 1 0 1
1978 12 5 2 2 0 0 12 0 0 0
1979 9 6 2 5 3 1 14 6 2 4
1980 11 9 2 2 1 1 18 3 0 3
1981 12 7 3 2 0 0 15 0 0 0
1982 6 2 1 2 0 0 5 0 0 0
1983 4 3 1 2 1 1 5 3 0 3
1984 13 5 1 2 1 0 9 2 2 0
1985 11 7 3 8 6 2 14 11 4 7
1986 6 4 0 2 2 0 5 2 1 1
1987 7 3 1 2 1 0 5 1 0 1
1988 12 6 3 4 1 0 16 1 0 1
1989 11 7 2 4 3 1 16 6 4 2
1990 14 8 1 1 0 0 12 0 0 0
1991 8 4 2 1 1 0 10 2 2 0
1992 7 4 3 2 1 1 12 4 4 0
1993 8 4 1 2 1 1 7 3 3 0
1994 7 3 1 3 0 0 5 0 0 0
1995 19 11 7 5 2 0 28 4 0 4
1996 13 9 6 4 2 1 22 5 0 5
1997 7 3 1 1 1 0 5 1 0 1
AVG 8.6 5.0 2.3 3.2 1.6 .6 11.9 3.5 1.4 2.1
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