The Blob watch

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148496
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

The Blob watch

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 29, 2004 6:56 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

SW caribbean area but the word is persistance.Also the MJO factor will penetrate the atlantic in 2 weeks and things will be more favorable by then.The EPAC will get is first and now there is invest 91E that has a good chance to be BLAS.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat May 29, 2004 7:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

#2 Postby george_r_1961 » Sat May 29, 2004 7:00 am

Indeed if anything were to develop in the tropics now it would happen there. 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#3 Postby Aquawind » Sat May 29, 2004 7:11 am

Agreed.. 8-)
0 likes   

chadtm80

#4 Postby chadtm80 » Sat May 29, 2004 7:20 am

Interesting.. Lets see how long it lasts ;-)
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat May 29, 2004 8:15 am

Looks pretty good this morning, let's see how long it lasts. Hope it moves toward Florida with a lot of soaking rain --- but skips the DR/Haiti.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Sat May 29, 2004 9:18 am

We need a good soaking Dixie.. All these mid 90's days and no rain.. Recipe for fires
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#7 Postby boca » Sat May 29, 2004 9:30 am

Unfortunately its moving west towards Central America.
0 likes   

User avatar
FWBHurricane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 495
Joined: Fri Apr 02, 2004 10:57 pm
Location: Midlothian/Ovilla, Texas
Contact:

#8 Postby FWBHurricane » Sat May 29, 2004 10:09 am

Im really surprised that the GOM is really quiet. At this point and time its usually booming with activity. Its probably being caused by the same high that wont let any rain develop in Florida. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#9 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat May 29, 2004 10:19 am

Our "Blob" seems to be expanding a bit -- though not deepening.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#10 Postby Aquawind » Sat May 29, 2004 10:23 am

It does have a mid-level circulation from the current convection and yes it is expanding in coverage..peristance and patience..

The Costa Rica 2km visable loop shows it well..It's early so you need to omit some of last nights frames and slow it down.. :roll:

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/COS.html
0 likes   

Guest

#11 Postby Guest » Sat May 29, 2004 11:28 am

Its a rarity for June but this would be great for my location in the next few weeks.
Image
Would be nice to enjoy the effects of a CAT 1 cane & get some much needed rain.
0 likes   

User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

Nice Mid-Level Swirl

#12 Postby KatDaddy » Sat May 29, 2004 11:42 am

The last few frames of VIS satellite show a nice mid-level circulation.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148496
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#13 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 29, 2004 4:30 pm

Convection is not too deep at this time but it has a MLC however there is an upper low south of Cuba a weak one that will not let it do anything.Some of the energy will go to the EPAC but let's see if convection persists but a comming and going thing doesn't help.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#14 Postby HURAKAN » Sat May 29, 2004 4:59 pm

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/COS.html

In the last images we see that convection might be redeveloping around the MLC, let see what happens in the next hours.

Sandy Delgado 8-)
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: pepecool20, Teban54 and 82 guests