NHC Upgrades Tropical Disturbance to 2-E

[Wnghs2007]

000
WTPZ42 KNHC 021534
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 AM PDT FRI JUL 02 2004

THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HAS DEVELOPED ENOUGH ORGANIZED CONVECTION
NEAR THE CENTER AND THE SYSTEM IS BEING CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION IS ALREADY MOVING OVER COOL WATERS SO
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. IN FACT...THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 36 HOURS OR LESS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KNOTS.
A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND
BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/1600Z 16.5N 119.7W 25 KT
12HR VT 03/0000Z 16.5N 121.0W 25 KT
24HR VT 03/1200Z 16.5N 123.0W 25 KT
36HR VT 04/0000Z 16.5N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 04/1200Z 16.5N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 05/1200Z 16.5N 130.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

[HURAKAN]

If my calculations are right, this system is going to last less than the marriage of Britney Spears.