Tropical System?

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Thunder44
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Tropical System?

#1 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 6:47 am

Hey, the Euro model has been showing a storm developing off the off the Mid-Atlantic Coast for the last two runs...
http://meteocentre.com/models/ecmwf_ame ... 9panel.gif

Some of the other models like the Canadian, and Ukmet seem to show this now too.
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

Do you all think this maybe a nor'easter or tropical storm developing?
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rbaker

ts off of mid atlantic

#2 Postby rbaker » Thu Jul 15, 2004 8:35 am

I don't see it except for the current low over ne which is the part of the trough we have now coming down here over n fla.
Looks like dominant feature is huge Bermuda High. :?:
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#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 15, 2004 10:44 am

I agree........
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#4 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 10:53 am

Aye, no tropical system, but some sort of coastal Low indeed..... Would be a nasty rainmaker for the Midatlantic and Northeast if it were to play according to the ECMWF and UKMET solutions.
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Jul 15, 2004 11:21 am

Stormchaser16 wrote:Aye, no tropical system, but some sort of coastal Low indeed..... Would be a nasty rainmaker for the Midatlantic and Northeast if it were to play according to the ECMWF and UKMET solutions.


Definitely agreed here ... like the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast need anymore rain after the last system dumped as much as 12" of rain in Lumberton, NJ.

SF
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 15, 2004 3:36 pm

Maybe I need glasses but I don't see anything.
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#7 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:23 pm

Hurakan: 1000mb off the Virginia coast by the 19th, then moves up the east coast.
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#8 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:25 pm

Maybe just a really big nor' easter..........
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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:27 pm

It looks to close to land for any to develop, also it appears over water in one model and then over land in the other. I don't see any clear sign that something has a real possibility for development.
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#10 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:39 pm

Of course not. But then.. it's not tropical. :)
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#11 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:39 pm

Hurakan no one is talking about tropical development with this one....

HOWEVER JB and other mets have mentioned that this feature may bring more heavy rain to the N. Midatlantic and the Northeast (coastal low)....
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#12 Postby USAwx1 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:44 pm

Stormchaser16 wrote:Hurakan no one is talking about tropical development with this one....

HOWEVER JB and other mets have mentioned that this feature may bring more heavy rain to the N. Midatlantic and the Northeast (coastal low)....


EXACTLY!

This is just a mid-latitude low pressure system which may take on some Nor'easter like characteristics. Quite Unusual for this time of year.
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#13 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:52 pm

This is kind of making me think real hard...
Anyone else can chime in on this...
With the way this summer has been going (cool + wet) it kind of makes me wonder what winter will be like. We have already had cold fronts dropping abnormaly far south, strong amplification in the pattern, -NAO signals at times, and now coastal possibilities? Interesting.........
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#14 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 11:10 pm

Every few years we get a non tropical coastal low here on the EC. You gotta watch these they can evolve into to TC. It is rare though
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