TIME SENSITIVE... The 00z NOGAPS seems to think that a broad area of low pressure to form in the Central/Western Caribbean (roughly <1008mb) traversing west near the end of the 7 day period. So far, no other model support, but just something to bring up and discuss.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/~swadley/nog ... _wind.html
00z NOGAPS seems to think ...
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Stormsfury
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00z NOGAPS seems to think ...
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Dean4Storms
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I hope not, I'm due to be in Jamaica and the Caymans the week of the 25th, although out seven days would put it past us by then but we are sailing out of New Orleans which could provide for some interesting conditions along the way!
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Stormsfury
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Dean4Storms wrote:I hope not, I'm due to be in Jamaica and the Caymans the week of the 25th, although out seven days would put it past us by then but we are sailing out of New Orleans which could provide for some interesting conditions along the way!
LOL Dean. When I was in Atlanta for 2 weeks, during that time, severe thunderstorms seemed to continually impact my area here off and on for a week, and not to mention, the hottest stretch of weather in 2 years.
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Stormsfury
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Derecho wrote:Little less distinct at 12Z...
EC has had this feature the last couple of days, realize few people look at it around here (and the crappy ECMWF maps don't show it well, have to use PSC.
EC at PSC wouldn't create maps for me earlier today, and I absolutely HATE the low-res ECMWF maps. The only other option was using the COD ECMWF (but doesn't show that region) ...
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ameriwx2003
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Yes.... the ECMWF has picked up on that wave last few runs.. In addition the 0Z GEM run brings a system into the NE in the 192 hr to 216 h range.
http://meteocentre.com/models/modelsgem_e.html
http://meteocentre.com/models/modelsgem_e.html
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The GGEM then tries to phase it with a mid-latitude system forming a large closed low over the Eastern lakes.
I especially like the fact that alot of the operational data is picking up on this wave.
Last year the GGEM tried several times to phase potential tropical systems with mid-latitude features forming huge (frequently sub-970mb) ocean lows
I especially like the fact that alot of the operational data is picking up on this wave.
Last year the GGEM tried several times to phase potential tropical systems with mid-latitude features forming huge (frequently sub-970mb) ocean lows
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