Dr. Lyons - No Development!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
kevin

#61 Postby kevin » Mon Jul 19, 2004 9:32 pm

What I was referring to was the sat watchers on this site who saw it slowing down, id., before their very eyes. Not that it was forecasted to slow down and was bucking that forecast.
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#62 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Jul 19, 2004 9:49 pm

Larry...one way to look at vertical shear in this instance is from the bottom up instead of vice versa. When I speak of horizontal shear I speak of it in terms of shear over the top of a system...30 kts blowing the tops off.

Vertical shear can be caused by two things...a slow moving system with 50 kts going the other way or a system moving at 25 kts with 35 kts at 850mb and decreasing with height.

Hope that clarifies it a little. In a way...both situations are vertical shear...but horizontal shear due to an upper level system usually arranges itself in such a way as to produce the vertical shear in the upper levels. So...instead of speaking of just the end result (vertical shear from the top)...I just classify it as the source...horizontal shear.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#63 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 19, 2004 11:20 pm

Our friend in Barbados, Renata has seen nothing but Easterly winds if I remember his posts correctly. HIs reports are somewhere else in the HH Forum.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image
Top
Anonymous

#64 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jul 19, 2004 11:34 pm

Surface observations confirm it. Hardly anything at the surface ATTM. Don't see it doing much over the dry ECARB over the next 24 hours.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 120 guests