Interesting Tidbit I found this morning...

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yoda
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Interesting Tidbit I found this morning...

#1 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:22 am

There are some concerns along the East Coast, since a 500MB weakness will be
positioned across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley while a powerful subtropical
high (597dcm) is anchored southeast of NWF. This alignment of systems might
allow for the tropical system now moving through the Lesser Antilles to
approach the NC Outer Banks and Delmarva Peninsula (but be careful about accepting
the Global idea of a possible hurricane....).


I found this in the website off Lary Cogsgrove's Discussion... sorry for the direct copying.. but is he good in tropical seasons? but are there any model or backups to which he might be right? I know this is like 7-10 days out but very interesting nonetheless...
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#2 Postby Tip » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:29 am

Actually the only global model latching on to this storm is the Canadian and is probably what Larry is referring. It really cranks the storm up off the Outer Banks and slowly moves it NNE.

http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_am ... _panel.gif
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#3 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:35 am

Ah thanks a bunch Tip!!! Thanks for the site as well. This will prove to be interesting IF it can keep going, which it may not, or may. I will be watching very closely though.
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#4 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:35 am

Wow!!!!! I live on Cape Cod, this is definately interesting........
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#5 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:40 am

Could you give the site URL.....Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!
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#6 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:41 am

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#7 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:43 am

Looks nothing more than some High Surf. Wax your boards. :)
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#8 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:52 am

No, sorry, I mean that guys website.....
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#9 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:53 am

Oh ok!! Sorry there Dark Knight!

Here it is...

http://www.weathermatrix.net/archive/wx ... 0000.shtml
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#10 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 8:57 am

Curiously, the ECMWF and
GGEM versions see this feature and present it as a threat to the East Coast
in about 7-10 days. The European model scenario shows linkage with a frontal
structure off the coastline of the Carolinas early next week and implies a
potential excessive rainfall event from SE VA into E GA.


huh?
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#11 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Jul 20, 2004 9:21 am

Thanks for the link Yoda!!!
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#12 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 9:22 am

Ur welcome Dark Knight!!

To no one in particular.. but why is the ECMWf and GGEM models also showing that this may come up the East Coast?
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Re: Interesting Tidbit I found this morning...

#13 Postby Derecho » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:14 am

yoda wrote:
I found this in the website off Lary Cogsgrove's Discussion... sorry for the direct copying.. but is he good in tropical seasons? ..



He's pretty hideously bad, probably the worst on tropical of any of the various independent actual meteorologists with web discussions.

Really doesn't have a passion for the tropics or watch very closely, occasionally goes on tirades against NHC for classifying stuff he deems too lame to classified (hilariously, once did so the day Barry almost became a hurricane on landfall in the Gulf.)

Has an unaccountable fascination for the GGEM (Canadian) model for tropical systems, when it's probably the worst global model for tropical tracks.

He had Isabel making landfall in New Jersey basically right to the end (based on hugging the GGEM.)

Most of his readers are New England Snow Weenies so tropically he has a Northeastern Wishcast bias.
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Re: Interesting Tidbit I found this morning...

#14 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:46 am

Derecho wrote:
yoda wrote:
I found this in the website off Lary Cogsgrove's Discussion... sorry for the direct copying.. but is he good in tropical seasons? ..



He's pretty hideously bad, probably the worst on tropical of any of the various independent actual meteorologists with web discussions.

Really doesn't have a passion for the tropics or watch very closely, occasionally goes on tirades against NHC for classifying stuff he deems too lame to classified (hilariously, once did so the day Barry almost became a hurricane on landfall in the Gulf.)

Has an unaccountable fascination for the GGEM (Canadian) model for tropical systems, when it's probably the worst global model for tropical tracks.

He had Isabel making landfall in New Jersey basically right to the end (based on hugging the GGEM.)

Most of his readers are New England Snow Weenies so tropically he has a Northeastern Wishcast bias.


Yeowser..the power bashing..I guess we should thank you for clarifying his position.. :P
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