Floater 2 Over 97L

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chadtm80

Floater 2 Over 97L

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:33 am

Image

Loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Aquawind
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#2 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:36 am

Wow Chad!! Your just full of GOOD news today!! :D Tell me this thing is gonna be a TC before midnight..please.. :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#3 Postby Derecho » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:47 am

If you run the visible loop you'll see a massive outflow boundary to the NW.

That's always a terrible sign for tropical devlopment.
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:50 am

No doubt..massive outflow..not a good sign for development anytime soon..midnight tomorrow is pushing it..
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nothing now, but ...

#5 Postby Weatherboy1 » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:51 am

If you run the visible loop you'll see a massive outflow boundary to the NW.

That's always a terrible sign for tropical devlopment.


Agreed. This thing is not a TD ... yet. But new deep convection is firing near what you might call the "center" of the wave axis. And there is definitely potential over the next couple of days to see development.

I think what someone else posted earlier is appropriate -- this is very much like the storms of the past couple of years that came screaming into the E Carib., looked okay, but didn't really develop until they slowed down and got further W. We'll see.
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#6 Postby southerngale » Tue Jul 20, 2004 11:12 am

A nice flare-up occurring right now but it looks very disorganized.
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I just read TWC analysis

#7 Postby frederic79 » Tue Jul 20, 2004 11:29 am

I just read TWC analysis and they say that "unfavorable conditions" for development are due to climotology. I can live with that with one notable exception; Hurricane Claudette entered the same area as a wave last year and blossomed in the Central Carribean as convection fired near the center. I don't remember conditions being ideal then, either. Anyhow, at least we can watch it up close now with the floater moved.
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