Lili, Isidore, Claudette - Ridge?

[GalvestonDuck]

I'm not sure if it was one of three GOM storms I listed above or something else. But does anyone recall a forum discussion sometime in the past two years about a ridge over south Texas as a storm was moving from the Caribbean and into the GOM?

I've searched and can't find it but I'm hoping someone with more met knowledge or weather geekiness will remember which storm it was. As the storm moved into the SC GOM, most were speculating (and models were spaghetti-ing) that the storm would either continue on an almost directly westward track or it would continue westward for a couple of days in the southern GOM and then take a sharp NNE curve and head towards the panhandle of FL. The reasoning (if my sorry brain can recall) was something about a ridge over SE TX that would keep the storm from heading anywhere along the TX coast on up and over to Bama.

Part of me is thinking it was Claudette and we watched as the models gradually forecast landfall farther and farther up the coast and the hurricane warnings glided northward, first at the MX/TX coast at Brownsville, then at San Luis Pass and Galveston, and finally up to High Island.

I'm just trying to make heads or tails out of how things were laid out over the US then and how it affected the path of the storm, and how they are now.

Thanks!

[lilbump3000]

From what I remember in 2002 with hurricane Lili you had a low in texas and a high over flordia which brought it to the central louisiana coast.

[HouTXmetro]

I believe you are talking about Claudette. All of the forecasters were predicting a TX-MX border landfall. However the ridge didn't turn Claudette west until it was due south of Galveston.

[Steve]

Claudette for sure. If you do a search for "Basquin" which I had misspelled (it's Baskin), it was associate meteorologist Jeff Baskin at Fox8 in New Orleans who busted the NHC's forecast track and said it would go way north of there. That was 12-24 hours before they adjusted the track. I don't remember the actual circumstances in South Texas, but it was apparent that the NHC track had an extreme southerly bias.

Lili and Isidore were both Yucatan storms that nudged up 91 and 92 west to come in @ South Central Louisiana. Bastardi, to the best of my recollection, was the earliest one who hit them both when everyone else progged something different.

Steve