Tropics, doesn't look good for development in Caribbean

[WXBUFFJIM]

After 8 days/7 nights at Walt Disney World, Florida last week, it's good to be back as the tropics start heating up now. A few tropical features of note tonight. The first is over the central Caribbean with a weak disturbance in the mid levels and a surface tropical wave just south of the Dominican Republic. The wave has been waxing and waning and shows no signs of any tropical development anytime soon as convection is waning at this time. The only disturbance associated with this is in the mid levels and it's weak at this time. At the surface, it's a tropical wave with no signs of a surface low pressure associated with it. Complicating matters is strong westerly winds aloft, as we more traditionally see in the Caribbean this time of year. History tells us that we have not seen a tropical storm develop in the east central Caribbean at all in the month of July. During the last 10 days of July, no tropical develop has occurred at all in the Caribbean Sea. This system will continue to be monitored. But right now, conditions don't favor tropical development anytime soon. There is an area of low pressure west of Cape Verde Islands that is devoid of convection. No development is expected from that in the near future. The Gulf Of Mexico is quiet with high pressure in control throughout the entire gulf.

The only real news in the tropical east Pacific is a strong tropical storm, which is in the middle of No Mans Land. Tropical Storm Celia has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph with higher gusts and moving west at around 7 mph. It won't threaten land as it continues to move away from the Mexican coast. Celia is centered at near latitude 16.3 north longtitude 121.0 west.

That's the latest at this time.

[Stormchaser16]

Finally someone who agrees that development is not likely lol......

Great discussion and 100% agreed