East atlantic wave in no hurry to develop if it does at all

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cycloneye
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East atlantic wave in no hurry to develop if it does at all

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 23, 2004 7:01 pm

This is the 8:05 PM EDT discussion about east atlantic wave:

TROPICAL WAVE NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 23W S OF 20N
MOVING W 10 KT. BROAD 1010 MB IS ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12.5N.
WAVE IS CREEPING WESTWARD IN STRONG SW FLOW AT THE LOW LEVELS
BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO ACCELERATE A BIT AS IT LEAVES THE SW MONSOON
ENVIRONMENT OFF W AFRICA. THE WAVE REMAINS WELL-DEFINED IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH A BROAD CYCLONIC ENVELOPE NOTED FROM THE
ITCZ NWD TO 20N. CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO THE ITCZ.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... pical.html

First there is a BROAD low 1010 mbs meaning it has to consolidate much more and not be too broad to have more chance to develop.Also convection primary is confined to the ITCZ however it has for the most part holding on although it has lost some from earlier today.In other words this wave will have to contend with the dry air SAL which is typical of july.I give the wave a couple of days to see how it does as it moves westward and by sunday I then will see if it has weakened or otherwise.
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#2 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Jul 23, 2004 7:17 pm

Hmmmmm........
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