All models still show low coming from Africa 3-5days

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Anonymous

All models still show low coming from Africa 3-5days

#1 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jul 25, 2004 11:32 am

Nogaps, AVN, UKMET, CMC and GFS are showing a low pressure coming off the coast of Africa :eek: but all models loose it later in the period although these are global models and dont usually hold on to tropical systems as well as .... http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/
GFS Link...
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
0 likes   

hurricanefreak1988
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 869
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 10:13 pm
Location: Fayetteville, NC
Contact:

#2 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sun Jul 25, 2004 11:50 am

Hopefully it'll hold on. The Atlantic just can't do ANYTHING this year :(
0 likes   

kevin

#3 Postby kevin » Sun Jul 25, 2004 11:53 am

You can't have above average seasons forever.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jul 25, 2004 12:24 pm

FWIW, the latest GFS model holds on to the low after emerging off Africa in 4 days and places it near western Cuba by day 16
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 84_m.shtml
0 likes   

User avatar
BayouVenteux
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 775
Age: 64
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 3:26 pm
Location: Ascension Parish, Louisiana (30.3 N 91.0 W)

#5 Postby BayouVenteux » Sun Jul 25, 2004 12:49 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Hopefully it'll hold on. The Atlantic just can't do ANYTHING this year :(


Hopefully WE can hold on. :D Actually, weather in the Atlantic basin is, generally speaking, behaving quite normally. Pretty much in line with climatology. Just seems that we've kind of become accustomed the last couple of seasons to having June and July systems to watch. Fret not...give it another couple of weeks and the ATL will provide more than enough in the way of storms. In the meantime, stock up on strong coffee :eek:, get all your needed links updated, and of course, if you live in a coastal region, make those seasonal real-life preps if you haven't done so already, and get ready for some long late August and September nights ahead.
0 likes   
Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

Derek Ortt

#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Jul 25, 2004 12:56 pm

We now know for sure that that low will not be near Cuba by day 16
0 likes   

User avatar
BayouVenteux
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 775
Age: 64
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 3:26 pm
Location: Ascension Parish, Louisiana (30.3 N 91.0 W)

#7 Postby BayouVenteux » Sun Jul 25, 2004 1:02 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:We now know for sure that that low will not be near Cuba by day 16


Guess that means that in the long range, the GFS, FWIW, AWS! :D
0 likes   
Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

User avatar
NCn8ochaser
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 23
Joined: Thu Jan 15, 2004 5:13 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:

#8 Postby NCn8ochaser » Sun Jul 25, 2004 1:35 pm

You can't have above average seasons forever.

Yeah, can suck sometimes. I don't like seeing houses and boats being destroyed but if it happens, God forbid, I wanna be there to see it. The above average seasons have their pros and cons... but even though I live in NC, I don't mind taking a good beating every once in a while. To be honest... I wouldn't mind seeing another Fran. But I don't wanna see another Floyd. Anywho, enough rambling. I'll keep watching the blobs.
Later
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Iceresistance, wwizard and 38 guests