Not one but two
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corpusbreeze
- Category 1

- Posts: 386
- Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 3:57 pm
Not one but two
Yep Mother Nature is kind to us folks who crave tropical excitement. We waited and waited, ran polls on when, where and why, argued over nothing waves etc. But in a matter of a day we have two systems to watch. Now as I can see it the best of the two as of right now is the Bahamas system. It has a good sat signature. and good upper dynamics. Now I do admit the GOM system is looking a little better this afternoon, but I just cant see development right away due to it being too close to the Bahamas system. Only one can win, and that looks to be 99L. IF the GOM system gets going it will be a North GOM landfall. Reason, because of all things we here in Texas are getting another frontal passage!! I hate fronts during hurricane season, they pretty much shut the season down for the western GOM.
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Stormcenter
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 6685
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
- Location: Houston, TX
From Lake Charles,LA
This is from the Lake Charles, LA Weather Service discussion.
FORECAST FOR LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK DEPENDS ON
WEAK LOW FEATURE IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND HOW FAST AND STRONG UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST US BUILD TO THE EAST. GFS SCENARIO
SEEMS THE MOST REASONABLE AT THIS TIME AND IS WHAT TPC/HPC ARE
TENDING TO LEAN TOWARDS IN THEIR MEDIUM/LONG RANGE DISCUSSIONS.
THIS SCENARIO WOULD HAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD AND
PUSHING TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GULF LOW WOULD THEN MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST...WITH HPC HAVING A SPOT LOW EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER ON MONDAY MORNING...WITH SYSTEM MOVING SLOWLY NORTH
INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY. IF THIS HOLDS TRUE...SYSTEM
WOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT OF THE KLCH FA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A MORE
NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE COASTAL WATERS. AT THIS POINT...WILL KEEP A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY UNTIL WE SEE HOW EVERYTHING BEGINS TO EVOLVE.
FORECAST FOR LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK DEPENDS ON
WEAK LOW FEATURE IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND HOW FAST AND STRONG UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST US BUILD TO THE EAST. GFS SCENARIO
SEEMS THE MOST REASONABLE AT THIS TIME AND IS WHAT TPC/HPC ARE
TENDING TO LEAN TOWARDS IN THEIR MEDIUM/LONG RANGE DISCUSSIONS.
THIS SCENARIO WOULD HAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD AND
PUSHING TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY/MONDAY.
GULF LOW WOULD THEN MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST...WITH HPC HAVING A SPOT LOW EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER ON MONDAY MORNING...WITH SYSTEM MOVING SLOWLY NORTH
INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY. IF THIS HOLDS TRUE...SYSTEM
WOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT OF THE KLCH FA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A MORE
NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE COASTAL WATERS. AT THIS POINT...WILL KEEP A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY UNTIL WE SEE HOW EVERYTHING BEGINS TO EVOLVE.
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- hurricanefloyd5
- Category 5

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