92L

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Thunder44
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92L

#1 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 5:57 am

On the Navy's backup site it has 92LInvest and 2LInvest with a TC formation alert, for the same wave.

http://152.80.49.216/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

I don't know what that's about. But 92L is getting more convection with it and if that continues it may be uprgraded later today.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
Last edited by Thunder44 on Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby hurricanemike » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:02 am

Should be 92L.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:05 am

That is an error that 2L.
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#4 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:08 am

I suspected so.
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#5 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:42 am

If it becomes a TD, it'll be TD 3 because TD 2 is in the Caribbean.
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#6 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:44 am

Isn't most of the convection north of the center?
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92L Looking like a TD this AM

#7 Postby KatDaddy » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:48 am

At this rate TD3 will be officially classified by 11AM. Its really looking good this morning.
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:56 am

wx247 wrote:Isn't most of the convection north of the center?


The center seems to be well within the convection. It maybe be sheared a little bit though.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 92L Looking like a TD this AM

#9 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:59 am

KatDaddy wrote:At this rate TD3 will be officially classified by 11AM. Its really looking good this morning.


We shall have to wait and see... but IMO I agree with you.
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#10 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:49 am

Dvorak numbers gone up a little from earlier this morning. T1.5/1.5

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
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#11 Postby MWatkins » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:23 am

92L looks like it has enough deep convection and banding to be a TD...it looks like it's geting some shear but they may upgrade this morning...but more likely at 5PM.

It definately looks bette than 91L ever did...and man...the Caribbean is a MESS this morning.

MW
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#12 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:26 am

MWatkins wrote:92L looks like it has enough deep convection and banding to be a TD...it looks like it's geting some shear but they may upgrade this morning...but more likely at 5PM.

It definately looks bette than 91L ever did...and man...the Caribbean is a MESS this morning.

MW


Yeah the remants of TD#2 are all over the place, it is clearly as mess as you said Watkins. Well we shall see if 92L is upgraded to a TD at the 11 AM advisory in 15 mins or so. You are proabably right though, that the first advisory is probably not going to be until 5.

Matt
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