any new models on either system?

rbaker · #1 Postby **rbaker** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:03 pm

91L by sat and radar looks to be on a more w course than wnw, anyone see it turning before landfall?

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:13 pm

91L

93L

Rainband · #3 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:15 pm

Thanks Brent. 8-)

Yep, thats what our Mets said. :wink:

rbaker · #4 Postby **rbaker** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:20 pm

well if those models are correct, 91L will have to start its turn now, and those were models as of 1257z. Well have to see if next output is and how its changed, and ifs a td or something else.

wxvine · #5 Postby **wxvine** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:24 pm

Some northerly shear is displacing the mid-level circulation and tops to the west-southwest making it look like a more westward motion attm. 1 km Visible imagery shows a small possible low level circulation on the north side of the burst of convection. There is a outflow boundary racing away to the north of where that possible LLC might be. Although there are some signs of some better surface banding on the western side where the possible LLC is. Looking forward to recon reports.

lilbump3000 · #6 Postby **lilbump3000** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:26 pm

The recon should be on there way out there now.

Website · #7 Postby **Brent** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:27 pm

rbaker wrote:well if those models are correct, 91L will have to start its turn now, and those were models as of 1257z. Well have to see if next output is and how its changed, and ifs a td or something else.

Uh... the models indicate a turn beginning late tonight and tomorrow, not now. It's already moving WNW to NW around 10 mph.

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:39 pm

Brent wrote:
rbaker wrote:well if those models are correct, 91L will have to start its turn now, and those were models as of 1257z. Well have to see if next output is and how its changed, and ifs a td or something else.

Uh... the models indicate a turn beginning late tonight and tomorrow, not now. It's already moving WNW to NW around 10 mph.

You can have the rain!!! I just read our local afd and I don't like the forecast!!! Do a wishcast dance for this baby. We don't need it. The had kids starting their first day of school today in SW Pasco, going to the bus stops in canoes :eek:

any new models on either system?

any new models on either system?

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