Expecting Bonnie, Charley, and guess what...Danielle!

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Hyperstorm
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Expecting Bonnie, Charley, and guess what...Danielle!

#1 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 09, 2004 3:55 pm

The system off the E. Coast of the USA could become...yes you knew it...Danielle! Impressive but possible. This one could develop and get a name being subtropical. Was noticing it throughout the day and it has gotten much better organized. Steve Lyons has just confirmed the possibility. Interesting...
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Mon Aug 09, 2004 3:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Aug 09, 2004 3:57 pm

Ugh, I only have 2 eyes. Well, here's to a sleep free week :roll:
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#3 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:02 pm

Ahh Yes..only 2 more needed for the Monthly Total guess...if Danielle actually pops.. :lol: :roll: :lol:
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:03 pm

Guidance has been hinting at the possibility, but to what degree ... some of the models just kept it as a frontal lobe, some did make it its own entity. I have noticed that, but since it doesn't look like too significant of a threat, I really didn't bring attention to it.

SF
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#5 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:05 pm

THE RALLY CONTINUES!!! THE TROPICS ARE ALIVE!!!!!! :D :D :D

I told you, it's been done before!
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#6 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:10 pm

Hurricanehink wrote:Ugh, I only have 2 eyes. Well, here's to a sleep free week :roll:


I hear ya'. Geez...
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#7 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:21 pm

LOL.......Same here.....
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#8 Postby NC George » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:27 pm

Yeah, the TV12 here in Eastern NC freaked me out for a second - they had a tropical storm watch posted in the corner of the screen. They took it off within 5 minutes - maybe they thought the area to our east had developed more than it has - so far.
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Bertha '96, Fran '96, Bonnie '98, Dennis '99, Floyd '99 :eek: , Isabel '03, Irene '11, Matthew '16, Isaias '20, PTC16????

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#9 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:27 pm

Hmm.... NHC didn't even mention the frontal disturbance east of Florida in the 5:30 TWO. They only mention the two systems. Considering it has potential, it should at least be mentioned.
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#10 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 09, 2004 4:32 pm

Dr. Gray might have to increase the numbers in the September Outlook. With only 3 major hurricanes forecasted this year and the potential to have our 2nd before mid-August, it definitely warrants a revision. I think this year we might end up with 4-5 major hurricanes. Not a long stretch at all.....
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#11 Postby rainstorm » Mon Aug 09, 2004 5:38 pm

i think the one east of fla will be the strongest of the 3. should head toward bermuda though
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#12 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 5:40 pm

rainstorm wrote:i think the one east of fla will be the strongest of the 3. should head toward bermuda though


:roll: :roll: :roll:
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#13 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 5:41 pm

Glad to hear the tropics are alive
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#14 Postby ChaserUK » Mon Aug 09, 2004 5:42 pm

Yes things really have gone gang busters during the last few hours or so.
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#15 Postby Hyperstorm » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:44 am

Morning's update:

Indications are the system is starting to acquire some tropical characteristics. Could become a subtropical cyclone within 24-36 hours. Bermuda should closely monitor this system.
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#16 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:48 am

Grr... still no invest or even a mention in the TWO. Regardless, it could become a storm, hyperstorm.
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#17 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:53 am

I was thinking that blob off the East Coast is about the same size as Bonnie and could turn into another storm!!
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#18 Postby Pebbles » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:56 am

Oh my! Barely keep up with the tropics the way I would like to right now..add a 3rd storm and all hopes are lost of keeping up even somewhat with the boards. *cackles*

Someone forgot to knock on wood when they said it would be a quiet season! *winks*
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#19 Postby Hyperstorm » Tue Aug 10, 2004 10:15 am

Hurricanehink wrote:Hmm.... NHC didn't even mention the frontal disturbance east of Florida in the 5:30 TWO. They only mention the two systems. Considering it has potential, it should at least be mentioned.


They have mentioned it in the 11:30am Tropical Weather Outlook. They say that UL winds are unfavorable, which in reality yes, but they are noo too unfavorable. The system is moving toward the EAST which could reduce the amount of shear it receives. The only thing the system needs to be classified is to be DETACHED from the frontal zone to the east-That could happen as early as tonight.

This one reminds me "TS"? Leslie in 2000. In fact, this one has more convection than what Leslie ever had.
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