Tornado Watch SW Florida/Keys

[Aquawind]

Some Nasty Cells entering the Keys!

HURRICANE WARNING
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-130400-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
817 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...INTENSIFYING HURRICANE CHARLEY MAY BE A DANGEROUS THREAT TO THE
SUNCOAST FRIDAY...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR AREAS SOUTH OF BAYPORT...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA:

CHARLOTTE
DE SOTO
HERNANDO
HILLSBOROUGH
LEE
MANATEE
PASCO
PINELLAS
SARASOTA

INCLUDING...
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO BAYPORT...CHARLOTTE HARBOR
AND TAMPA BAY.


A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN WEST
CENTRAL FLORIDA:

CITRUS
LEVY

INCLUDING...
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAYPORT TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER.


AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA:

HARDEE
HIGHLANDS
POLK
SUMTER

...STORM LOCATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7
NORTH...82.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. CHARLEY WAS
MOVING TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED AS THE STORM MOVES OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE GULF.
CHARLEY COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WITH CHARLEY EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...THEN ACCELERATE...ALONG THE
SUNCOAST...THE THREAT OF A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORM SURGE IN THE
STORM'S SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE IS GREAT. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST
THE HIGHEST SURGE WILL OCCUR FROM THE COUNTIES NEAR TAMPA BAY SOUTH
TO LEE COUNTY.

A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS POSSIBLE TO SOUTH OF WHERE CHARLEY
MAKES LANDFALL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SUNCOAST ON FRIDAY...WITH WINDS IN THE
INNER EYEWALL PERHAPS AT LEAST 130 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HOWEVER...NO MATTER WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES...CURRENT FORECAST DATA
SUGGEST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH WILL AFFECT ALL
AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BETWEEN FRIDAY
EARLY SATURDAY.

...VERY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE...
...DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS
POSSIBLE...

...STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...
THE MAJORITY OF MOBILE HOMES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED NEAR WHERE THE
STORM MAKES LANDFALL. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL
HAVE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE...INCLUDING PARTIAL WALL COLLAPSE AND ROOFS
BEING LIFTED OFF. MANY WILL BE UNINHABITABLE. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES
WILL INCUR MINOR DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS...AS WELL AS
BLOWN OUT WINDOWS.

PARTIAL ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS...ESPECIALLY TO
THOSE BUILDINGS WITH LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL AND ALUMINUM COVERINGS. OLDER
LOW RISING APARTMENT ROOFS MAY ALSO BE TORN OFF...AS WELL AS
RECEIVING SIDING AND SHINGLE DAMAGE. MUCH OF THE GLASS IN HIGH RISE
OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL CAUSE
DAMAGE...INJURY...AND POSSIBLE FATALITIES.

...NATURAL DAMAGE...
ALL TREES WITH ROTTING BASES WILL BECOME UPROOTED OR SNAP. NEARLY ALL
LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP...AND MAJOR DAMAGE IS CAN BE EXPECTED TO
CITRUS GROVES...INCLUDING NUMEROUS UPROOTED TREES...MOST COMMON WHERE
THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT THEIR PROPERTY...THEN MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

IN RURAL LOCATIONS...SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK
FULL FOR MORE THAN 6 HOURS.

URBAN AREAS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AS RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED AND THE STORM SURGE WILL LIMIT EVACUATION OF
THE WATER.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE RIVERS TO SWELL LONG AFTER THE STORM PASSES.
PERSONS LIVING ALONG RIVERS SHOULD MONITOR EVENTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA FORECAST
OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
DANGEROUS FLOOD. HEED ALL EVACUATION ORDERS FROM LAW ENFORCEMENT OR
MILITARY PERSONNEL.

$$
SOBIEN





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TORNADO WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 748
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
939 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 748 IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT AND INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...

FLC015-021-071-087-131200-

IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
CHARLOTTE COLLIER LEE MONROE

AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS

$$


$$





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FLOOD WATCH
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-130800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1010 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...
HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...
SARASOTA AND SUMTER.

SOME CITIES IN THE WATCH INCLUDE...

ARCADIA...BARTOW...BRADENTON...BRANDON...BROOKSVILLE...CAPE CORAL...
CHIEFLAND...CLEARWATER...CLEARWATER BEACH...FORT MYERS...INVERNESS...
LAKELAND...NEW PORT RICHEY...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...
SARASOTA...SEBRING...SPRING HILL...TAMPA...VENICE...WINTER HAVEN AND
ZEPHYRHILLS.

...SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE
TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM
BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO BAYPORT IN HERNANDO COUNTY. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAYPORT TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER IN LEVY
COUNTY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY.
THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
MODERATE RIVER FLOODING AS WELL AS MODERATE URBAN FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...AS WELL AS THOSE
LIVING NEAR SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT
PROPERTY AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

$$





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SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
848 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-056-057-061-062-065-GMZ850-856-870-876-130245-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT TO 20 NM-CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DESOTO-
HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-LEE-LEVY-PASCO-SUMTER-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER 20 TO 60 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20 NM-
848 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

.NOW...
THROUGH 11 PM...RAIN BANDS WITH SHOWERS, WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA FROM CHIEFLAND SOUTH TO BETWEEN INVERNESS FLORAL
CITY AND THE VILLAGES. OTHER BANDS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LOCATION OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FROM BETWEEN
ENGLEWOOD AND FORT MYERS NORTHEAST TO BETWEEN AVON PARK AND VENUS.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

RLK

[tracyz]

Tornado Watch SE FL!

TORNADO WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 748
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
939 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 748 IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT AND INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...

FLC011-086-099-131200-

IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
BROWARD MIAMI-DADE PALM BEACH

AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS

$$