San Juan NWS Discussion=An active next week Danielle,Earl

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cycloneye
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San Juan NWS Discussion=An active next week Danielle,Earl

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:45 am

the local islands. beyond
sunday ... the local weather is contingent on organizing tropical wave
along 41 west this morning. this wave looking better with time ... and
global models suggest there is potential for tropical development
with this system during the several days. latest gfs moves a high
amplitude surface trough across the local area early tuesday ... with
a similar low level presentation as was forecast for t. d. two which
later became bonnie. nhc is currently running guidance on this
wave ... and we will continue to monitor this closely next few days.
the following wave which has exited africa during the past 36 hours
could very well become a tropical depression or storm in the next 24
hours ... and global models also like this system. many models pull
this developed wave to the wnw then nw and into the central
atlantic ... but ... the trend over the past few days has been farther
and farther west before pulling nw. this too will be monitored.

with three tropical systems developing already this month ... and
potentially two more during the next few days ... it goes without
saying that the season could become very active as we approach the
peak of the season. local interests are strongly urged to revisit
your hurricane mitigation plans ... and keep abreast of weather
conditions and forecasts on a daily basis.
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