Is That An Eye I see........

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charleston_hugo_veteran
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Is That An Eye I see........

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:08 pm

?????

Image
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JabNOLA
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No Eye

#2 Postby JabNOLA » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:11 pm

Center of Circulation. Yes

Once the thunderstorms wrap, we will likely have a strengthing system.
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:15 pm

No, no eye.

<RICKY>
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#4 Postby Pebbles » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:15 pm

Been watching that...really trying to get it's act together.

Edit: this came across wrong I think...I am watching it but agree it's not an eye ....
Last edited by Pebbles on Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5 Postby storm4u » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:16 pm

could it get stronger than everyone is thinking!!! :roll:
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Looks like one is trying to form

#6 Postby ilmc172pilot » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:17 pm

and as warm as the water is off our coast, shouldnt be difficult, soon as the storms get wrapped, maybe an eye and some strengthening
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#7 Postby Skywatch_NC » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:20 pm

Looks from that pic that an eye has already started forming...eerie! :eek:

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#8 Postby Dan » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:23 pm

that pic is nothing more than a good shot of the LLC. The western half of the storm is void of deep thunderstorm activity. I'm thinking that has a little to do with it being close enough to land. If ti was a bit farther out over the water, there would not be as much wind coming off the land.
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#9 Postby seahawkjd » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:27 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Look at this loop. I think its getting better organized.
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#10 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:27 pm

there is no eye forming... the low level center has been exposed... the cloud tops have either been blown off from the west side of the system, or there has been some dry air pulled in... this has a long way to go before you would see anything remotley like an "eye"... Alex did the samething though before it stared to move... this may be the sign of that about to happen...
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:29 pm

Yes some shear is blowing the convection apart from the center.
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#12 Postby seahawkjd » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:34 pm

lol, I posted my link, hit reply, and the next frame that came off of the sat loop changed the way things looked completely.
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#13 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:38 pm

The bad part is.

The more intense this system gets, the stronger the ridge builds in behind it and thus, forces Frances further to the west, and into the southern portion of Florida. Not good!
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#14 Postby Derecho » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:40 pm

It just vomited out a massive "arc cloud" to the East.

That's air moving outwards at the surface. Not a sign of a strengthening storm at all....strong TCs have nothing but inflow at the surface.
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#15 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:51 pm

You mean a outflow boundary?
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#16 Postby Derecho » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:54 pm

Yep. Arc cloud = outflow boundary.

Looks like it did the old "suck in dry air off of land" bit.
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#17 Postby seahawkjd » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:55 pm

All I see is stroms trying to wrap around the llc. I have a question, how much damage could a strong tropical storm do to eastern NC SC after we've had a couple of storms already come through this month with soggy ground and weakened trees, lines, etc?
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#18 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 28, 2004 12:56 pm

Derecho wrote:It just vomited out a massive "arc cloud" to the East.

That's air moving outwards at the surface. Not a sign of a strengthening storm at all....strong TCs have nothing but inflow at the surface.


sorry... i just dont see that... looks like the entire cloud pattern is expanding to me... dont think it needs a barf bag yet... lol...
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#19 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 28, 2004 1:00 pm

seahawkjd wrote:All I see is stroms trying to wrap around the llc. I have a question, how much damage could a strong tropical storm do to eastern NC SC after we've had a couple of storms already come through this month with soggy ground and weakened trees, lines, etc?


just depends on the strength of course... if you are looking at a storng TS, well it could help to weaken tree roots and cause a few to maybe go over... If it moves as slow as they are thinking and 3-5 inches of rain, we could be looking at a possible flooding problem... And if frances comes this way on top of it, although that is starting to fade a bit, that could be Floyd type problems on top of the damage.. Debris has not been pick up completely from carley in SC and NC.. real problems are possible... Not a major problem if Gaston remains weaker and Frances stays south...
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#20 Postby Derecho » Sat Aug 28, 2004 1:06 pm

vacanechaser wrote:
Derecho wrote:It just vomited out a massive "arc cloud" to the East.



sorry... i just dont see that... looks like the entire cloud pattern is expanding to me... dont think it needs a barf bag yet... lol...


If you can't see an arc cloud that big and obvious, I suggest seeing an optometrist.
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