WNW.................

[bobbisboy]

I haven't seen any comment on this yet but FRANCES seems to have begun a clearly WNW track rather early in the NHC window for her to be doing this. The move north of 20 seems a degree or earlier too which is small at this point but may loom larger down the road. Thoughts ?

[chris_fit]

right on track

[debbiet]

I thought it looked that way too, but since no one was mentioning it and I know absolutely nothing....

[Stormcenter]

right on track

Well looks primarily west to me. I'm not sure what you may be seeing but hey sometimes people see different things so I
could be wrong.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[chadtm80]

right on track

[tampastorm]

Maybe a tad north of west, but primarily west

[rtd2]

YOU CAN TRACK THE EYE on this radar and it looks WEST to me also!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml

[Air Force Met]

Nope...its right on track. The 13z forecast position from this morning is on track.

Since 10z this morning...according to satellite...it has moved at 275 degrees at 13 kts. Over the last hour...its been about 280 at 13 kts.

[weatherfsu]

It has been moving slightly north of west the past day or 2. At the end of that loop, it appears to head a little more west. That might just be a wobble, or it might actually be the movement. Either way, this looks like it is on the forecast track to me.

[rbaker]

not pronounced enough until more observed angle for 6 hrs, wheres its at a 290 or higher angle. Still just about where it should be. Maybe a little faster than before. Last night it was at 14 mph, now there saying 15 mph.

[rbaker]

not pronounced enough until more observed angle for 6 hrs, wheres its at a 290 or higher angle. Still just about where it should be. Maybe a little faster than before. Last night it was at 14 mph, now there saying 15 mph.

[mascpa]

I see a little wobble to the north but thats it. Still appears to me to be moving just ever so slightly north of due west. Watch the trends. Looks like a Florida event to me. Time to begin preparations. Good luck to all!

[The Dark Knight]

I agree, it is right on the forecasted track....

[tailgater]

NHC in last nites adv. had it 20.1N & 60.4W in 12hrs, so basically right on track just a good bit faster.

[nccoastalgirl]

I haven't seen any comment on this yet but FRANCES seems to have begun a clearly WNW track rather early in the NHC window for her to be doing this. The move north of 20 seems a degree or earlier too which is small at this point but may loom larger down the road. Thoughts ?

From the plots on my computer graphic, it is slightly north of its projected path at the 8 AM advisory. The 5 AM advisory was right on target. Guess we'll have to see if the 8 AM movement turns into a trend or if it was just an insignificant jog to the north. At any rate, I see what you see too.......

[MWatkins]

One quick point...following the center of the eye can sometimes be misleading when it is not cloud-free...looking at the last hour of puerto-rico radar this system is still moving between 270 and 275.

MW

[Brent]

Here's the San Juan long-range radar. It's easier to track on here. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... tjua.shtml