Miami spared?

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Windfall

Miami spared?

#1 Postby Windfall » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:41 am

Is miami going to be spared?
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Re: Miami spared?

#2 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:43 am

Windfall wrote:Is miami going to be spared?


They were never the target anyway but it looks like(THIS IS NOT A GUARANTEE) Miami will fare well. It's forecast to hit around Palm Beach or north of there so at worst Miami will see gusty winds with squally weather and rain.
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#3 Postby alicia-w » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:52 am

could be too soon to say for sure one way or the other. dont know why the mayor would be annoucing evacuation of zones 1 and 2 if they were in the clear.
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#4 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:59 am

Looks to be spared to me, barring a bend left. I'm not sure I see why a bend left wouldn't be possible, but right now, looks like we'll be in that weak SW quadrant. I am expecting nothing but mid-range TS force winds. I doubt we'll even get much rain....just a couple squalls, I'm thinking. Wonder if it's too late to go to Blockbuster?

You'll think I'm crazy, but I can feel boredom setting in already. If I wasn't concerned about the gasoline situation, I'd be tempted to chase the storm up the coast. I absolutely hate those days when there's 35-40 mph winds, and nothing open.

I can see myself going back into work tomorrow, hooking the PC back up, and getting stuff done. Won't be anything else to do.
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#5 Postby rbaker » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:03 am

based on where frances is right now it would have to maintain a 280-290 course at most, to be a hit, there. Then the wobbles that the storm has taken in last few days looks to be getting better for miami, esp when it gets past your latitude.
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#6 Postby B-Bear » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:05 am

Although it does appear that Miami will be spared, I'm becoming a little concerned by the strength of the ridge to Frances' north and how that might cause her to take a more westerly track.
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#7 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:06 am

As am I B-Bear....
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#8 Postby B-Bear » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:08 am

Canelaw99 wrote:As am I B-Bear....


Looks to be pretty damn strong, doesn't it?
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#9 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:10 am

Yup, and I've had a bad feeling about this one from day 1...always felt the track was a little far north....
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#10 Postby Sirocco » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:12 am

Maimi spared? Huh? They are evacing in Miami-Dade county!

Image
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#11 Postby hial2 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:13 am

DONT think the little round feature near the center of Francis is the eye..Please note that the BODY of the storm is STILL heading more or less on a wnw direction...that's why Mayor Penelas from Dade gave the mandatory evac orders...

It costs lots of money to do that!!
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#12 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:51 am

The evacuations are cautionary measures. I didn't say Miami was in the clear, I said it looked like the worse would go north and unless the eye hits Miami head on, it will. The southern side of the storm is much weaker. They are probably evacuating the barrier islands in case the bridges to the mainland have to close due to strong winds. Flow will be offshore so there will be no surge.
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