Is it moving North of NHC track??

[golter]

Is it my imagination or is the NNW sustaining itself.

[hial2]

Imagination...Last wobble almost due west..will continue on a w to wnw motion

[tampastorm]

I agree it just seems so do to EWR. Also if this ridge rebuilds stronger, we need all the N movement we can get before pushed back sharply W

[rbaker]

as posted on another thread, its been more nw than wnw for last 4 hrs. but will give it another couple before I say sustained nw movement.

[rtd2]

The ridge has a small pinch in to NE of the storm allowing a small are of nw to nnw movt. THEN the door slams and back to wnw 270*(wwnw!!!) or even due west and that my doesnt sound good for punta gorda on her exit into GOMEX

[ilmc172pilot]

I dunno...lookas like the wobble then back to same path

[cape_escape]

The ridge has a small pinch in to NE of the storm allowing a small are of nw to nnw movt. THEN the door slams and back to wnw 270*(wwnw!!!) or even due west and that my doesnt sound good for punta gorda on her exit into GOMEX

I was afraid of that happening! I live in Cape Coral and they were showing some of the people from Punta Gorda on the news yesterday, and many of them are both physically and mentally wrecked at this point. They dod not need a visit from Frances!

[jaysonx]

The storm has Def been heading NNW for the past 3-4 hours.

[JQ Public]

more like NW but its a real surprise in my opinion. Any movement north increases the chances of the storm going 50+ miles up the coast due to the layour of the florida coastline.

[Kiern]

NNW? Give me what you're smoking.

There was a NW wobble, but it's back on the wnw track. Once the eyewall replaces, you can expect even wwnw movement, especially from the ridge.

[Stormcenter]

The storm has Def been heading NNW for the past 3-4 hours.

Look at the latest visible loop and it's pretty clear to me that it's gone back to WNW motion the few frames.



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[AlexiBlue]

LOL. Okay, so how many wobbles does it take to the NW to balance out all the "not wobbling" to the WNW?

Because if it keeps "wobbling" NW, doesn't that mean it is going to end up more north than everyone seems to be thinking - even though the main track is WNW?

Especially as it gets toward land, one or two of those NW "wobbles" could drastically affect exactly where this sucker is going to go inland - especially at the angle it is coming toward Florida.

Wobble this, Wobble that. The point is that it does NOT have a consistent, absolute WNW track - so there is no real way to pin down an exact "area" of landfall at this point.

[Cape Verde]

The Bahaman island of San Salvadore lies directly in her path if I'm reading a map correctly. I can only imagine what it must be experiencing right now.

[yoda]

The storm has Def been heading NNW for the past 3-4 hours.

Look at the latest visible loop and it's pretty clear to me that it's gone back to WNW motion the few frames.



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Incorrect (I believe). Watch closely and you can see it is moving more North than anything else. Don't want this to become a bashfest, so I will watch it closely to make sure.

[Guest]

Does it matter that the pressure is falling in some locations in SC?

[Kiern]

LOL. Okay, so how many wobbles does it take to the NW to balance out all the "not wobbling" to the WNW?

Because if it keeps "wobbling" NW, doesn't that mean it is going to end up more north than everyone seems to be thinking - even though the main track is WNW?

Especially as it gets toward land, one or two of those NW "wobbles" could drastically affect exactly where this sucker is going to go inland - especially at the angle it is coming toward Florida.

Wobble this, Wobble that. The point is that it does NOT have a consistent, absolute WNW track - so there is no real way to pin down an exact "area" of landfall at this point.

Frances will also wobble west. The fact remains, yes it does even out to be wnw.

[clueless newbie]

Hm, she looks like T-boning the ridge in full speed. That might also explain the ragged/wobbly/squashed look she has today (see the 17:15Z image!). Doubt it will push through, but might slow her and then send almost directly west.

The bad thing is that even if she weakens now, she has plenty of time to restrengthen.