Question about heading west

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JtSmarts
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Question about heading west

#1 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:36 pm

Hi everyone, I just wanted to know if Frances did turn west right now, could it possibly miss Florida and head into the area between Fl and Cuba. Hope this isn't a dumb question. :?:
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LaBreeze
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#2 Postby LaBreeze » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:42 pm

I don't think that's a dumb question. In fact, I sort of had the same thought. One local met here stated that it probably will not do such a turn because it would have to be a really sharp turn and it is almost at the Keys latitude already. Interesting thought though.
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#3 Postby WeatherNLU » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:44 pm

It's not a dumb question. The answer to it is possible but not likely. The storm has never actually moved due west, there has always been at least some poleward movement. It's unlikely, but with the way this thing has gone I wouldn't rule anything out at this point.

I'm sticking with my WPB landfall. I'm not waivering one way or the other.
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#4 Postby WeatherNLU » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:44 pm

It's not a dumb question. The answer to it is possible but not likely. The storm has never actually moved due west, there has always been at least some poleward movement. It's unlikely, but with the way this thing has gone I wouldn't rule anything out at this point.

I'm sticking with my WPB landfall. I'm not waivering one way or the other.
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#5 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:46 pm

Thanks Labreeze and WeatherNLU for your responses, I guess we will know more as the drama continues to unfold. :eek:
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#6 Postby WeatherNLU » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:46 pm

Sorry for the double post, I have no idea how it happened.
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#7 Postby drudd1 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:46 pm

The eye has been wobbling for days, as we have we have watched it make it trek slowly towards the east coast. This is normal, and we have witnessed it repeatedly. This stair step effect is normal. This is why you hear the term trend so much. Due to this wobbling back and forth, you must watch the system over an extended period of time to determine if a directional change has actually occurred(a trend). By the way, your question is not dumb in the least.

Note: These slight deviations are expected.
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