Ready for Rapid Development?

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rockyman
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Ready for Rapid Development?

#1 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:04 am

Looking at the visible loops, the "little center" seems to be getting absorbed by a "bigger center" (it seems to be swirling SW into the larger vortex) and the system appears to be rapidly getting its act together...I expect the eye to really tighten up and become evident on IR soon...the SW quadrant looks MUCH better than it did when I opened my eyes at 5am this morning (my notebook spent the night on my nightstand!)

Comments encouraged!
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Sanibel
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#2 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:14 am

I wonder if that will affect track?


I expected this. People underestimate the Gulf Stream.


Gulf Stream = Hurricane gun powder

Synoptic dry air shear = Hurricane suppressor


There's your formula. How it balances will decide...
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NateFLA
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#3 Postby NateFLA » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:16 am

Shear has dropped considerably.

I don't like the trend I have been seeing for the past few hours.
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Ixolib
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#4 Postby Ixolib » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:20 am

Sanibel wrote:I wonder if that will affect track?


I expected this. People underestimate the Gulf Stream.


Gulf Stream = Hurricane gun powder

Synoptic dry air shear = Hurricane suppressor


There's your formula. How it balances will decide...


What's the degree of dry air today as compred to yesterday?
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Sanibel
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#5 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 04, 2004 10:27 am

I have no moisture charts. The satellite presentation will tell. If it moistens and the shear drops-off the west side of the storm will really push over Florida. If this storm wasn't so dried out by this airmass it would be thick over us here in SW Florida already because Frances is very large.

Use a WV image and eye it...
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