New Vortex down to 951mb!

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Anonymous

#21 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:35 pm

Well I hope to god it doesnt drop 11 mbs each hour. It could bottom out at 930 if it continues. :(
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frankthetank
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#22 Postby frankthetank » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:35 pm

that "eye" still has plenty of time in the sultry floridian gulf stream... I could see further lowering of the pressure until landfall.....
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Matthew5

#23 Postby Matthew5 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:38 pm

See there is alot more convection on the Eastern side of this storm. Which is forcing the system to stay just off shore. While every time that little spin/eye gets close to land it tightens up more and more. This is the central center not the full scale eye its self. Over time it will make the full scale of the eye tighten up. You better hope that it gets forced inland over the next 6 hours. Because with every passing moment the eye wall is getting more oreganized.
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flnative
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#24 Postby flnative » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:41 pm

"PARTIAL INNER EYEWALL 10-15NM
DIAMETER POORLY CORRELATED WITH FL AND SURFACE CENTER."

what does this mean?
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Hurricane Cheese
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#25 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:42 pm

Frances is indeed a Hurricane diva. She's been to hell and back in terms of her organization.

Just pray she doesn't keep the pressure falling....

She's just an unreal storm in terms of trends and predictibilty as I know I've been wrong with her several times now.


Congrats to the mets that keep tackling trying to predict what she'll do!!!
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ldelatorre
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#26 Postby ldelatorre » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:49 pm

Funny, the 8PM advisory says 951mB but 105 mph (Cat 2).
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Hyperstorm
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#27 Postby Hyperstorm » Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:54 pm

ldelatorre wrote:Funny, the 8PM advisory says 951mB but 105 mph (Cat 2).


Don't worry the winds will surely catch up....expect a major at 11...
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dhweather
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#28 Postby dhweather » Sat Sep 04, 2004 7:00 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:
ldelatorre wrote:Funny, the 8PM advisory says 951mB but 105 mph (Cat 2).


Don't worry the winds will surely catch up....expect a major at 11...


Silly, she'll *definately* be headed for the Carolinas at 11 !!!!


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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btsgmdad
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#29 Postby btsgmdad » Sat Sep 04, 2004 7:02 pm

Just looked up the Saffir-Simpson scale on the NHC website. 945-965mb pressure readings=Category 3 hurricane.
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Lockhart
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#30 Postby Lockhart » Sat Sep 04, 2004 7:37 pm

It was wrong. From the 8:20 PM correction to the advisory:

THE 951 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED IN THE 8 PM EDT INTERMEDIATE
PUBLIC ADVISORY IS CORRECTED TO 957 MB. A STILL LATER HURRICANE
HUNTER REPORT INDICATES THAT THE SURFACE PRESSURE IS 960 MB.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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