18z models for Ivan

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Brent
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18z models for Ivan

#1 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:57 pm

Image

UKMET-Watch out Florida. :eek:
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canegrl04
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#2 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:59 pm

CRAP :eek: This season is so surreal
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MBryant
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#3 Postby MBryant » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:59 pm

Back to normal...It will go somewhere between West and North... Everything closer is just a guess.
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Opal storm

#4 Postby Opal storm » Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:59 pm

Looking at that,Ivan might be more of a problem to the GOM than FL.
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Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:01 pm

Not good :eek: :eek: :eek:
Bring on Winter!!!!!!!! This is getting old-Can we just Fast-Forward to December.
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DoctorHurricane2003

#6 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:16 pm

What is the UKMET doing east of Ivan? Is that a forecast for another Tropical Wave?
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#7 Postby OtherHD » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:17 pm

Models have Ivan initialized at 110 kts...125 MPH.
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#8 Postby OtherHD » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:22 pm

Which means in 24 hours he has more than doubled in windspeed. From 60 mph to 125 mph.
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bobbisboy
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UKMET on target............

#9 Postby bobbisboy » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:59 pm

It has already picked up on a more easterly track for IVAN which one can clearly see this afternoon. NOT good news for southern FL or PR for that matter. Let's see what they do at 5. I'm thinking they will shift it left.
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CourierPR
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#10 Postby CourierPR » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:05 pm

Ivan's satellite presentation is awesome. Remember back in July when people on this board were griping about the slow season? Be careful what you wish for, because you just might get it.
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FritzPaul
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#11 Postby FritzPaul » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:10 pm

Steve Lyons just said Ivan set a record for the lowest latitude hurricane on record (ever).
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AL Chili Pepper
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#12 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:10 pm

Friday night, the GFDL had Ivan as a 925 mb cane in the eastern Caribbean. I didn't believe it. Now I do. :eek:

From those model tracks, Ivan will be making it through the Leewards at a pretty good pace. I hope we don't have any stalls with this one like we did Frances. The Bahamas got pounded.
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#13 Postby ilmc172pilot » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:21 pm

bad thing is these models are not very reliable from what I've seen...
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